NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	104		Excitement	6.0 [481]		MVP	Ed Davis (TOR): +19.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Comeback	1.4 [472]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -17.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ed Davis	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.06	0.00	7	100%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.09	0.00	13	54%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jose Calderon	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.04	0.01	9	75%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.06	-0.02	12	50%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	72%	0.08	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	14	45%	0.04	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
James Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	62%	0.02	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.07	0.00	7	79%	0.22	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	6	67%	0.11	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	3	133%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	12	52%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.06	0.01	12	62%	0.05	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	20	33%	-0.11	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.04	0.02	12	24%	-0.15	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.5	29.2	14.8	30.1	1.6	25.5	127.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +83.0%

CLE -12.4%

CLE -9.3%

CLE -13.3%

TOR +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CLE	NBA	TOR	CLE	NBA
this game	18.4	15.2	15.6	120.9	112.9	102.8
season	16.5	15.5		98.9	99.5
opponent	15.6	15.2		107.1	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	19.2	16.7	19.8	18.1	18.4
CLE	14.4	16.8	17.1	13.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	44	44	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-6	20	18.6	18.3	0.28	16.2	14.2	1.92
Jose Calderon	52	52	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-4	16	18.6	18.1	0.52	16.3	13.5	2.86
Andrea Bargnani	52	51	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.25	9	-1	10	18.9	17.7	1.25	16.1	13.9	2.25
Amir Johnson	55	55	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.28	8	0	8	19.1	17.3	1.78	15.8	14.2	1.60
James Johnson	67	66	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	2	4	17.8	20.7	-2.89	14.2	18.7	-4.51
Rasual Butler	19	19	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	6	-4	20.7	17.8	2.89	18.7	14.2	4.51
Jamaal Magloire	31	30	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	8	-8	17.3	19.1	-1.78	14.2	15.8	-1.60
Ed Davis	34	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	9	-10	17.7	18.9	-1.25	13.9	16.1	-2.25
Jerryd Bayless	34	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	12	-16	18.1	18.6	-0.52	13.5	16.3	-2.86
Leandro Barbosa	42	41	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.13	-6	14	-20	18.3	18.6	-0.28	14.2	16.2	-1.92

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	32	33	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-11	14	13.7	16.2	-2.43	17.9	18.8	-0.85
Ryan Hollins	30	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-11	14	13.7	16.1	-2.42	17.5	18.9	-1.38
Ramon Sessions	41	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-10	12	14.5	15.9	-1.35	18.1	18.7	-0.54
Daniel Gibson	41	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-8	8	14.5	15.9	-1.35	17.3	19.4	-2.16
Alonzo Gee	52	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.23	-1	-7	6	13.7	17.6	-3.88	17.9	19.2	-1.31
Omri Casspi	34	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.02	-9	1	-10	17.4	13.8	3.68	18.7	18.3	0.41
Anthony Parker	43	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-2	-4	16.0	14.5	1.50	19.9	16.9	2.98
Kyrie Irving	44	45	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	2	-12	15.9	14.5	1.35	18.7	18.1	0.54
Anderson Varejao	55	55	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	3	-14	16.1	13.7	2.42	18.9	17.5	1.38
Antawn Jamison	53	53	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	3	-14	16.2	13.7	2.43	18.8	17.9	0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.38,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 94, UTA 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%
SAC 131, OKC 120	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.04,0,0,0	94.3%
DAL 90, MEM 83	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.07,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.24,0.1,0.03,0.01,0	94.2%