NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	131		Excitement	7.1 [463]		MVP	Iman Shumpert (SAC): +19.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	120		Comeback	1.2 [223]		LVP	Jerami Grant (OKC): -12.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Iman Shumpert	0.20	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.03	0.03	13	84%	0.23	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Buddy Hield	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.02	11	68%	0.15	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
De'Aaron Fox	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.02	-0.02	12	67%	0.17	4	-0.06	9	78%	0.01
Justin Jackson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.01	6	79%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.02	6	100%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Harry Giles III	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	40%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Skal Labissiere	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	0.02	-0.02	0.05	11	54%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Marvin Bagley III	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	13	41%	-0.02	4	-0.10	6	50%	-0.04

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	7	79%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.11	0.00	0.08	18	69%	0.14	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.02
Deonte Burton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.03	0.05	23	56%	0.09	5	-0.13	11	45%	-0.08
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	16	41%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	7	45%	-0.02	3	-0.11	8	50%	-0.04
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	12	27%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.5	31.2	12.8	30.6	2.3	34.6	141.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +47.6%

SAC +8.0%

OKC -15.5%

SAC +8.4%

SAC +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	OKC	NBA	SAC	OKC	NBA
this game	13.9	12.1	14.3	119.1	107.1	109.3
season	13.3	12.9		109.2	108.9
opponent	14.9	14.3		106.4	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.2	12.8	15.0	15.7	13.9
OKC	13.5	11.6	12.2	10.9	12.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Aaron Fox	95	98	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.18	16	-5	21	13.7	15.0	-1.28	12.0	12.3	-0.24
Nemanja Bjelica	69	72	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.07	10	1	9	13.3	14.8	-1.46	13.0	10.4	2.52
Marvin Bagley III	52	53	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.14	6	5	1	14.7	13.2	1.52	12.3	11.9	0.37
Iman Shumpert	73	73	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.04	9	2	7	12.9	15.9	-3.06	12.3	11.7	0.62
Harry Giles III	40	41	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	9	-7	13.7	14.0	-0.34	11.4	12.5	-1.04
Buddy Hield	53	56	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.06	8	3	5	13.8	14.0	-0.19	12.3	11.9	0.39
Willie Cauley-Stein	52	52	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	6	-1	14.1	13.7	0.35	11.5	12.6	-1.10
Ben McLemore	7	7	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	6	-1	15.1	13.8	1.34	8.4	12.3	-3.89
Yogi Ferrell	43	44	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	10	-9	15.5	12.9	2.62	12.0	12.1	-0.16
Justin Jackson	61	60	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.25	-5	16	-21	14.1	13.6	0.58	11.7	12.5	-0.84
Skal Labissiere	5	4	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	13	-15	13.6	13.9	-0.30	15.0	12.0	3.04

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Abrines	13	12	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-16	21	11.8	12.1	-0.25	14.2	13.9	0.31
Nerlens Noel	28	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-8	5	12.9	11.8	1.05	15.9	13.2	2.73
Hamidou Diallo	45	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-11	11	12.7	11.7	1.03	14.5	13.5	0.98
Deonte Burton	15	13	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.09	-2	-9	7	10.0	12.4	-2.39	18.2	13.3	4.92
Jerami Grant	62	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.14	-1	-10	9	11.9	12.3	-0.45	14.7	12.9	1.84
Paul George	75	75	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-4	-3	13.1	10.1	3.01	13.2	15.4	-2.21
Patrick Patterson	35	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	1	-13	11.1	12.5	-1.39	11.9	14.7	-2.83
Terrance Ferguson	48	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	0	-11	11.6	12.4	-0.78	13.4	14.2	-0.83
Steven Adams	80	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-5	-1	12.1	11.9	0.23	13.2	15.7	-2.53
Dennis Schroder	75	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-6	1	11.9	12.4	-0.46	14.2	13.1	1.10
Russell Westbrook	84	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.08	-13	2	-15	11.9	12.7	-0.81	13.6	14.7	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 99, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.05,0,0.01,0,0	95.3%
IND 101, NJN 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.3,0.19,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.19,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.3%
TOR 104, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.38,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.03,0,0	94.3%