NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	101		Excitement	5.0 [841]		MVP	Fred Jones (IND): +21.0%
New Jersey Nets	91		Comeback	1.1 [587]		LVP	Sarunas Jasikevicius (IND): -14.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.11	0.07	-0.03	16	65%	0.21	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.05	-0.02	15	65%	0.22	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Danny Granger	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	6	76%	0.06	1	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	65%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
David Harrison	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.01	9	48%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	29%	-0.06
Stephen Jackson	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	43%	0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Eddie Gill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	43%	-0.00	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	2	20%	-0.03	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	18	53%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	-0.00	-0.02	3	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	11	55%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	10	52%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	4	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	19	47%	-0.00	3	-0.07	11	82%	0.02
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	6	29%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	30.6	15.7	28.3	1.7	34.4	138.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +38.8%

IND +6.4%

IND +13.3%

NJN -8.8%

IND +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NJN	NBA	IND	NJN	NBA
this game	15.3	15.5	15.6	108.6	96.8	104.4
season	16.0	15.7		102.3	102.1
opponent	15.7	15.5		100.9	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.6	13.2	15.6	16.7	15.3
NJN	15.7	15.5	16.4	14.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	73	73	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-2	14	16.1	12.4	3.67	15.5	15.6	-0.13
Fred Jones	60	62	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-1	12	14.4	16.8	-2.43	15.2	16.1	-0.87
Anthony Johnson	59	59	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-5	20	16.0	14.1	1.92	15.6	15.3	0.33
Danny Granger	56	59	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	0	10	14.6	16.2	-1.60	15.8	15.0	0.88
David Harrison	45	45	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.14	3	7	-4	15.7	14.9	0.75	14.9	16.1	-1.26
Scot Pollard	25	26	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	4	2	14.8	15.5	-0.66	17.0	15.0	2.04
Jeff Foster	52	50	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	6	-2	16.4	13.9	2.51	15.8	15.2	0.68
Sarunas Jasikevicius	34	35	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.19	-5	15	-20	14.1	16.0	-1.92	15.3	15.6	-0.33
Stephen Jackson	59	59	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.15	-4	14	-18	14.9	15.9	-1.04	15.4	15.7	-0.35
Eddie Gill	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	10.0	15.4	-5.40	7.5	15.7	-8.20

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zoran Planinic	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	7.5	15.7	-8.20	10.0	15.4	-5.40
Bostjan Nachbar	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	7.5	15.7	-8.20	10.0	15.4	-5.40
Vince Carter	16	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-9	8	14.2	15.8	-1.61	17.7	14.7	2.96
Jason Collins	58	57	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.17	5	-15	20	15.4	15.7	-0.24	15.2	15.3	-0.09
Antoine Wright	18	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-6	2	15.3	15.6	-0.30	10.6	16.3	-5.70
Scott Padgett	28	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-7	4	16.0	15.3	0.73	15.1	15.3	-0.19
Lamond Murray	20	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-9	8	14.0	15.9	-1.87	16.4	15.0	1.43
Richard Jefferson	78	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-4	-2	15.9	13.7	2.13	16.0	11.4	4.62
Nenad Krstic	44	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	-2	-6	15.9	15.2	0.64	16.6	14.1	2.52
Jacque Vaughn	62	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	5	-20	16.1	14.3	1.79	14.5	16.8	-2.38
Clifford Robinson	54	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	1	-12	15.5	15.5	0.04	14.2	16.7	-2.55
Jason Kidd	88	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	0	-10	15.5	16.2	-0.69	15.7	10.7	4.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.3,0.19,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.19,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 99, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.05,0,0.01,0,0	94.5%
GSW 102, IND 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
SAC 131, OKC 120	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.04,0,0,0	94.3%