NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	78		Excitement	3.3 [1164]		MVP	Brad Miller (HOU): +6.4%
Houston Rockets	99		Comeback	1.5 [1098]		LVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): -11.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.06	20	44%	0.07	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Ike Diogu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.05	4	87%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	11	23%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	13	28%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Blake Griffin	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.02	18	34%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.16	0.00	0.10	6	114%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	13	48%	0.03	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.02	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Chase Budinger	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	15	52%	0.06	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	9	67%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	17	44%	0.03	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Michael Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	30.4	14.8	22.3	2.4	28.2	124.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +42.4%

HOU +1.2%

HOU +9.9%

LAC -3.9%

HOU +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	17.5	14.9	15.5	88.6	110.0	105.7
season	15.4	15.2		104.4	109.5
opponent	14.9	15.3		107.5	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.5	15.5	20.9	16.5	17.5
HOU	14.6	14.5	14.4	16.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ike Diogu	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-26	31	12.4	18.0	-5.58	18.1	14.5	3.56
Brian Cook	21	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-19	17	16.7	17.7	-1.03	15.4	14.8	0.58
Al-Farouq Aminu	44	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	-13	5	16.9	18.0	-1.09	15.0	14.9	0.14
Craig Smith	37	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-13	5	17.2	17.7	-0.50	14.6	15.1	-0.49
Eric Gordon	76	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.12	-13	-8	-5	17.7	15.7	1.97	15.1	14.2	0.82
Jamario Moon	43	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	-11	1	17.0	17.9	-0.84	14.9	15.0	-0.04
DeAndre Jordan	41	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	-7	-7	18.7	16.4	2.25	14.8	15.1	-0.31
Randy Foye	46	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-10	-1	17.1	17.8	-0.68	15.2	14.6	0.58
Mo Williams	55	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.20	-21	0	-21	18.1	16.3	1.79	14.5	15.6	-1.15
Blake Griffin	68	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.23	-23	2	-25	17.8	16.3	1.49	14.6	16.0	-1.45

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	68	66	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.17	22	-1	23	14.2	17.0	-2.80	18.2	15.1	3.15
Charles Hayes	72	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.11	19	2	17	15.3	13.6	1.65	17.5	17.4	0.05
Michael Harris	20	19	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	9	3	13.1	15.4	-2.29	15.7	17.9	-2.26
Brad Miller	48	48	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.18	17	4	13	14.8	15.0	-0.21	16.9	18.1	-1.14
Courtney Lee	48	49	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.11	14	7	7	16.1	13.6	2.46	16.0	19.3	-3.24
Goran Dragic	71	69	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.08	11	10	1	15.0	14.6	0.45	18.0	15.6	2.39
Jordan Hill	24	23	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	16	-11	15.2	14.8	0.32	15.1	18.3	-3.21
Kevin Martin	56	55	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.04	7	14	-7	15.3	14.4	0.89	18.2	16.2	2.08
Patrick Patterson	36	34	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	20	-19	14.2	15.4	-1.14	19.8	16.0	3.76
DeMarre Carroll	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	24	-27	15.1	14.9	0.23	13.0	17.8	-4.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.75,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 84, NYK 113	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
LAC 78, SAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
NOH 92, UTA 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.83,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%