NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	78		Excitement	2.9 [1166]		MVP	Tony Delk (SAC): +6.5%
Sacramento Kings	98		Comeback	1.4 [1222]		LVP	Maurice Taylor (LAC): -15.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pete Chilcutt	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	2	100%	0.05	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	12	68%	0.06	2	-0.02	7	100%	0.02
Charles R. Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	9	40%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Avent	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	9	39%	-0.01	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	17	47%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.19	-0.00	-0.09	11	27%	-0.04	6	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.20	-0.00	-0.05	19	26%	-0.12	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	24	48%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	15	53%	0.05	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	5	62%	-0.01	1	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	1	125%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	-0.06	10	40%	0.01	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	26.7	15.6	22.6	2.7	27.2	120.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +29.0%

SAC +1.2%

SAC +12.2%

SAC +5.6%

SAC +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAC	NBA	LAC	SAC	NBA
this game	15.4	13.4	15.2	78.8	97.0	101.7
season	15.6	13.8		95.5	102.9
opponent	14.7	14.3		100.7	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.1	15.1	17.0	15.7	15.4
SAC	10.9	14.9	14.3	14.3	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	55	58	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-21	22	16.1	14.5	1.65	13.3	13.5	-0.19
Charles R. Jones	30	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	-14	8	15.0	15.6	-0.57	13.6	13.4	0.20
Jeff McInnis	44	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-14	8	15.6	15.2	0.40	13.9	13.1	0.84
Anthony Avent	13	13	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	-12	4	13.5	15.7	-2.14	14.2	13.3	0.92
Maurice Taylor	75	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-14	8	15.4	15.4	0.03	13.2	14.1	-0.92
Derek Anderson	73	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.20	-18	-2	-16	15.0	16.5	-1.50	13.2	14.0	-0.75
Lamar Odom	87	88	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	-12	4	15.5	14.7	0.73	13.6	12.5	1.02
Pete Chilcutt	55	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.36	-27	7	-34	15.1	15.8	-0.68	13.6	13.2	0.46
Eric Piatkowski	63	65	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.12	-22	2	-24	15.8	14.7	1.01	13.1	14.1	-0.98

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	78	76	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.09	21	-1	22	13.6	12.9	0.66	16.6	11.3	5.27
Vlade Divac	66	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.12	20	0	20	13.2	13.9	-0.66	15.3	15.6	-0.36
Jon Barry	44	44	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.40	27	-7	34	13.3	13.5	-0.19	15.6	15.2	0.40
Tyrone Corbin	46	46	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.12	14	6	8	14.4	12.6	1.73	15.3	15.5	-0.21
Tony Delk	41	42	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	12	-4	14.5	12.7	1.83	15.1	15.6	-0.56
Peja Stojakovic	77	74	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.05	10	10	0	13.0	14.7	-1.68	15.9	13.8	2.13
Jason Williams	60	57	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.13	12	8	4	12.7	14.5	-1.83	15.6	15.1	0.56
Corliss Williamson	41	39	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	21	-22	13.2	13.6	-0.35	15.9	15.1	0.79
Bill Wennington	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	19	-18	12.2	13.6	-1.36	11.5	15.8	-4.33
Darrick Martin	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	26	-32	14.2	13.3	0.98	13.6	15.7	-2.11
Lawrence Funderburke	26	27	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.15	-6	26	-32	13.5	13.4	0.15	12.4	16.5	-4.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 87, CLE 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.73,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
MEM 85, MIA 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
CLE 95, MIN 118	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%