NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Excitement	2.7 [1199]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): +13.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	118		Comeback	1.3 [1237]		LVP	Ricky Davis (CLE): -10.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.00	-0.02	11	64%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	12	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dajuan Wagner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	15	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	10	58%	0.00	3	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	10	54%	0.01	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	15	37%	-0.05	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.01	0.03	17	69%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.03	12	75%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.01	-0.05	9	62%	0.08	1	0.00	6	50%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	15	61%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	16	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	5	43%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Igor Rakocevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	10	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.1	1.7	27.1	15.6	22.3	1.5	25.3	113.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +32.9%

MIN +5.5%

CLE -6.9%

MIN +18.0%

MIN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIN	NBA	CLE	MIN	NBA
this game	17.1	14.6	15.5	103.3	131.1	101.6
season	15.1	14.9		94.6	104.0
opponent	15.8	14.9		102.3	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.4	17.3	18.0	16.7	17.1
MIN	14.2	14.0	14.7	15.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	10	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.18	6	-29	35	16.2	17.2	-0.96	18.6	14.1	4.43
DeSagana Diop	13	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-17	11	18.0	16.9	1.10	13.7	14.7	-1.01
Chris Mihm	17	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.12	-9	-14	5	18.4	16.7	1.67	14.1	14.7	-0.60
Jumaine Jones	69	69	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-17	11	16.8	18.0	-1.20	14.6	14.4	0.24
Darius Miles	48	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.15	-13	-10	-3	17.1	17.0	0.06	14.8	14.3	0.46
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	63	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.29	-19	-4	-15	16.9	17.4	-0.52	14.3	15.1	-0.84
Carlos Boozer	46	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.03	-10	-13	3	17.0	17.2	-0.20	14.7	14.5	0.20
Dajuan Wagner	59	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-9	-5	17.6	16.0	1.60	14.5	14.6	-0.11
Milt Palacio	67	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	-9	-5	16.9	17.4	-0.42	14.7	14.2	0.45
Ricky Davis	68	67	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.33	-30	7	-37	16.8	17.8	-1.05	14.2	15.7	-1.46

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	75	77	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.25	28	-5	33	14.6	14.2	0.44	17.2	16.5	0.70
Rasho Nesterovic	67	70	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.33	29	-6	35	14.3	15.3	-1.05	17.3	16.4	0.91
Troy Hudson	66	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.28	27	-4	31	14.6	14.5	0.15	17.0	17.3	-0.39
Kevin Garnett	70	72	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.24	21	2	19	14.6	14.4	0.15	17.4	15.7	1.73
Anthony Peeler	56	59	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.21	16	7	9	14.7	14.4	0.34	16.9	17.4	-0.53
Gary Trent	32	32	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.08	6	17	-11	14.7	14.5	0.19	16.7	17.2	-0.51
Kendall Gill	32	31	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.23	-6	29	-35	15.2	14.2	1.06	17.7	16.7	1.04
Igor Rakocevic	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	21	-19	10.2	14.8	-4.52	13.5	17.2	-3.72
Loren Woods	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	21	-19	10.2	14.8	-4.52	13.5	17.2	-3.72
Mike Wilks	24	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	27	-31	14.5	14.6	-0.15	17.3	17.0	0.39
Marc Jackson	20	19	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.15	-6	29	-35	15.1	14.4	0.75	15.9	17.4	-1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 78, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
UTA 74, GSW 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
LAC 78, SAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%