NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	74		Excitement	2.6 [1224]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +8.5%
Golden State Warriors	104		Comeback	1.1 [1262]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): -11.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	6	73%	0.10	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Trey Lyles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.08	10	42%	0.02	3	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.00	0.05	9	70%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Raul Neto	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Bolomboy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jeff Withey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	13	42%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.01	0.06	2	150%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Shelvin Mack	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	7	37%	-0.02	4	-0.06	2	0%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.05	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	10	26%	-0.06	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	13	65%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	14	65%	0.08	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.02
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.14	0.00	0.09	18	61%	0.06	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.00	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	0.00	0.08	11	62%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	14	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	35.1	14.7	24.3	2.7	26.3	128.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +17.8%

GSW +8.1%

UTA -1.6%

GSW +26.9%

UTA -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	16.6	13.0	14.8	76.3	106.1	107.7
season	16.1	13.5		108.0	114.9
opponent	15.1	15.0		103.3	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.5	17.5	17.1	15.1	16.6
GSW	12.3	12.0	12.9	14.9	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	32	31	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-30	30	16.6	16.6	0.01	13.2	12.9	0.28
Joel Bolomboy	6	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-36	42	12.7	16.8	-4.15	15.9	12.7	3.13
Raul Neto	26	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.05	-2	-28	26	15.4	17.0	-1.60	14.1	12.6	1.58
Rodney Hood	22	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-27	24	18.1	16.1	1.98	13.0	13.0	0.06
Jeff Withey	34	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	-23	16	15.3	17.3	-1.99	13.8	12.6	1.20
Dante Exum	54	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.13	-9	-21	12	15.2	18.3	-3.09	13.1	12.9	0.21
Trey Lyles	49	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.38	-21	-9	-12	17.0	16.1	0.98	13.2	12.8	0.33
Shelvin Mack	43	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.26	-18	-12	-6	18.0	15.4	2.51	12.5	13.4	-0.83
Gordon Hayward	56	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.32	-23	-7	-16	17.0	16.0	0.96	12.5	13.6	-1.08
Rudy Gobert	63	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.30	-23	-7	-16	17.3	15.3	1.99	12.6	13.8	-1.20
Joe Ingles	53	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.14	-20	-10	-10	16.3	16.8	-0.48	12.9	13.2	-0.34
Joe Johnson	47	46	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.40	-30	0	-30	16.5	16.6	-0.05	12.6	13.4	-0.82

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	64	64	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.45	32	-2	34	12.6	13.8	-1.26	16.9	15.8	1.07
Stephen Curry	62	62	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.33	27	3	24	12.2	14.3	-2.11	16.9	16.0	0.92
Klay Thompson	66	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.49	32	-2	34	12.3	14.4	-2.04	16.9	15.9	1.02
Andre Iguodala	51	51	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.41	25	5	20	12.3	13.8	-1.51	17.6	15.4	2.26
Kevin Durant	53	52	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.21	16	14	2	12.2	13.9	-1.64	16.6	16.6	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	32	33	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.18	13	17	-4	12.6	13.2	-0.60	16.3	16.7	-0.43
Ian Clark	22	21	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.09	7	23	-16	12.5	13.1	-0.64	16.7	16.5	0.20
JaVale McGee	28	27	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	32	-34	14.5	12.4	2.10	16.1	16.7	-0.57
Shaun Livingston	37	36	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.06	5	25	-20	14.4	12.2	2.21	16.1	16.8	-0.66
David West	22	22	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.16	6	24	-18	12.6	13.1	-0.47	17.3	16.3	0.93
Patrick McCaw	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	33	-36	15.3	12.3	2.99	14.8	17.1	-2.31
Anderson Varejao	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	34	-38	16.4	12.4	3.92	14.4	16.9	-2.51
Kevon Looney	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	34	-38	15.2	12.5	2.70	14.4	17.0	-2.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 95, BOS 120	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
CLE 95, MIN 118	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
GSW 90, ORL 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%