inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 85 Excitement2.5 [1259] MVPLeBron James (MIA): +13.6%
Miami Heat 118 Comeback1.1 [1203] LVPMike Conley (MEM): -10.8%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
O.J. Mayo0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.07-0.000.051366%0.052-0.033100%0.00
Marc Gasol0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.00-0.00-0.021254%0.032-0.01475%0.01
Darrell Arthur0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.060.00-0.07737%0.012-0.002100%0.01
Greivis Vasquez0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.080.000.08583%0.0000.00250%-0.00
Hamed Haddadi0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Leon Powe0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02167%0.0000.00450%0.00
Ish Smith-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Shane Battier-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tony Allen-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00737%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Zach Randolph-0.060,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.000.041250%-0.042-0.02250%-0.00
Sam Young-0.070,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.000.02730%-0.0700.00667%-0.01
Mike Conley-0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.22-0.00-0.12119%-0.084-0.0300%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.120.01-0.001671%0.173-0.03683%0.01
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.220.000.155142%0.0700.002100%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.140.000.071572%0.103-0.039100%0.01
Chris Bosh0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.010.031167%0.083-0.04580%-0.00
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.022100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03422%0.0000.0010%0.00
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03747%0.012-0.011100%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.000.02275%0.001-0.004100%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.01350%-0.0310.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.02.430.715.727.62.534.2135.2
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +52.5%
MIA +6.2%
MEM -5.2%
MEM -3.9%
MIA +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMMIANBAMEMMIANBA
this game15.015.415.590.4124.2105.7
season15.516.0106.1109.0
opponent15.615.5102.3103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM16.718.312.713.215.0
MIA14.616.014.516.815.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hamed Haddadi15150.00-0.500.50-0.062-353711.115.8-4.6516.915.21.70
Leon Powe15150.00-0.500.50-0.062-353711.115.8-4.6516.915.21.70
Greivis Vasquez1919-0.01-0.490.49-0.031-34359.516.4-6.9116.415.21.17
Darrell Arthur3737-0.02-0.480.460.25-9-241514.315.5-1.2716.015.10.93
Ish Smith2425-0.05-0.450.39-0.081-343513.515.6-2.1316.015.20.72
O.J. Mayo4647-0.21-0.290.080.20-14-19515.314.80.4317.013.93.02
Shane Battier3939-0.24-0.260.020.32-19-14-515.215.00.1916.015.01.01
Sam Young5049-0.25-0.250.000.07-11-221114.615.6-0.9914.916.0-1.10
Zach Randolph5454-0.38-0.12-0.250.24-21-12-916.213.52.7314.317.0-2.67
Tony Allen4244-0.39-0.11-0.270.55-32-1-3117.712.94.7913.816.8-2.96
Mike Conley6868-0.44-0.06-0.390.41-29-4-2515.713.32.4515.016.4-1.42
Marc Gasol6163-0.520.02-0.540.54-363-3916.312.73.6115.415.6-0.20

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade67690.52-0.020.54-0.5737-44114.318.2-4.0016.112.13.98
Chris Bosh63620.330.170.16-0.583122915.515.30.2316.013.22.86
LeBron James64630.330.170.15-0.171716115.016.3-1.2315.015.1-0.13
Mike Bibby48480.290.210.07-0.302013716.514.42.0815.214.90.30
Jamaal Magloire28290.290.210.070.02924-1515.715.30.3515.814.71.14
Mario Chalmers47460.210.29-0.07-0.171320-714.416.5-2.0814.915.2-0.30
Erick Dampier29280.180.32-0.14-0.231419-513.916.1-2.2616.414.51.87
Mike Miller35330.170.33-0.16-0.331716117.914.03.8415.614.80.82
Juwan Howard32320.170.33-0.160.11231-2915.315.5-0.2313.216.0-2.86
Joel Anthony37360.020.48-0.46-0.25924-1516.015.10.9313.815.8-2.00
Eddie House13120.000.50-0.500.06-235-3717.115.21.9110.715.7-4.92
James Jones12120.000.50-0.500.06-235-3716.715.21.5110.715.7-4.92


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 84, NYK 1130.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
LAC 78, SAC 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
CHA 87, GSW 1120.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%