NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	87		Excitement	2.5 [1241]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +8.2%
Golden State Warriors	112		Comeback	1.1 [1203]		LVP	Marvin Williams (CHA): -5.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bismack Biyombo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	0	75%	0.02	1	0.00	4	75%	0.01
PJ Hairston	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.03	10	80%	0.06	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Roberts	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.11	-0.01	0.09	12	63%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	8	44%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.06	14	58%	0.03	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Gerald Henderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	8	31%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.13	0.00	-0.10	14	24%	-0.03	1	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01
Cody Zeller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	13	72%	0.11	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	11	77%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.04	15	61%	0.06	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.01	0.04	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	5	100%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	7	81%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ognjen Kuzmic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	53%	0.00	1	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	0.8	27.8	15.0	29.1	1.0	25.2	122.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +37.3%

CHA -4.1%

GSW +8.4%

GSW +7.4%

GSW +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	GSW	NBA	CHA	GSW	NBA
this game	15.8	13.6	15.1	88.8	114.3	104.2
season	15.6	13.6		98.9	109.2
opponent	15.5	15.1		99.7	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.2	16.6	15.2	16.4	15.8
GSW	12.5	12.2	13.0	17.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Noah Vonleh	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-32	39	13.7	16.1	-2.36	16.6	13.1	3.44
Jannero Pargo	27	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-25	25	15.5	15.9	-0.43	16.4	12.4	4.01
Jason Maxiell	26	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-23	21	15.3	16.0	-0.65	16.4	12.5	3.88
Bismack Biyombo	38	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.16	-11	-14	3	15.4	16.1	-0.66	14.4	13.1	1.35
Gerald Henderson	57	58	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	-18	11	15.0	17.0	-2.02	13.4	13.7	-0.28
Brian Roberts	40	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-19	13	15.6	15.9	-0.30	15.3	12.4	2.86
Lance Stephenson	53	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	-13	1	15.9	15.7	0.17	13.1	14.0	-0.91
Cody Zeller	42	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-19	13	15.1	16.4	-1.28	11.7	14.9	-3.23
Gary Neal	24	22	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.13	-13	-12	-1	15.4	16.0	-0.60	12.8	13.8	-0.96
Marvin Williams	30	30	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.25	-17	-8	-9	17.3	15.2	2.08	13.6	13.5	0.06
Kemba Walker	58	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.27	-19	-6	-13	15.9	15.6	0.30	12.4	15.3	-2.86
PJ Hairston	35	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.23	-18	-7	-11	17.6	14.8	2.80	12.6	14.1	-1.55
Al Jefferson	49	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.28	-21	-4	-17	16.6	15.0	1.57	12.2	15.0	-2.74

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	58	56	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.28	24	1	23	12.3	15.3	-3.02	16.6	14.9	1.70
Draymond Green	63	62	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.28	24	1	23	12.5	15.5	-3.08	16.0	15.6	0.34
Stephen Curry	61	60	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.31	23	2	21	12.4	15.4	-3.01	16.0	15.6	0.45
Andre Iguodala	56	56	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.13	16	9	7	12.8	14.5	-1.73	14.6	17.5	-2.97
Andrew Bogut	46	46	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.37	24	1	23	12.5	14.5	-2.04	16.3	15.4	0.82
Harrison Barnes	43	46	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.43	23	2	21	14.1	13.2	0.91	17.0	14.8	2.13
Marreese Speights	30	31	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	21	-17	12.7	14.0	-1.29	14.8	16.3	-1.54
Shaun Livingston	37	38	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	23	-21	15.4	12.4	3.01	15.6	16.0	-0.45
Leandro Barbosa	28	31	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.16	8	17	-9	14.8	13.1	1.76	15.3	16.1	-0.83
Festus Ezeli	22	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	28	-31	17.0	12.6	4.49	16.4	15.7	0.77
Ognjen Kuzmic	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	32	-39	16.6	13.1	3.44	13.7	16.1	-2.36
Justin Holiday	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	30	-35	16.4	12.9	3.53	17.1	15.6	1.49
Brandon Rush	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	33	-41	15.9	13.1	2.77	15.2	15.9	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 85, MIA 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
WAS 92, LAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
DAL 65, UTA 80	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%