NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	92		Excitement	2.3 [1270]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +11.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	99		Comeback	1.0 [1305]		LVP	Andray Blatche (WAS): -9.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.14	0.00	0.12	11	73%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Al Thornton	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.03	12	60%	0.03	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Quinton Ross	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	22%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.09	9	61%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.00	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	0.00	20	38%	-0.08	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	-0.00	17	71%	0.12	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.04	7	81%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	14	67%	0.09	4	-0.03	14	86%	0.02
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	3	71%	0.05	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	10	73%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	-0.09	4	40%	0.02	5	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	0.8	30.2	15.7	23.3	2.5	33.1	128.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +31.3%

LAL +7.1%

LAL +4.5%

LAL +7.0%

LAL +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAL	NBA	WAS	LAL	NBA
this game	16.8	16.5	15.3	107.0	113.8	106.0
season	15.7	15.7		102.6	107.9
opponent	15.1	15.3		103.0	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.6	18.9	17.6	13.3	16.8
LAL	13.7	14.7	20.3	18.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	15	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.33	11	-18	29	12.5	17.7	-5.20	19.2	15.9	3.24
Alonzo Gee	13	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-12	17	17.5	16.6	0.83	18.3	16.3	1.98
Fabricio Oberto	10	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-4	1	19.6	16.4	3.22	13.6	16.9	-3.32
JaVale McGee	37	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-1	-5	16.5	17.0	-0.47	15.7	17.2	-1.44
Nick Young	38	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.40	7	-14	21	16.0	17.3	-1.31	18.0	15.5	2.54
Randy Foye	35	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-6	5	17.3	16.4	0.89	16.8	16.4	0.50
Shaun Livingston	51	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.09	-6	-1	-5	16.4	17.3	-0.89	16.4	16.8	-0.50
Al Thornton	60	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-2	-3	16.4	17.7	-1.29	15.5	19.0	-3.45
James Singleton	48	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-4	1	16.9	16.6	0.22	17.1	15.9	1.21
Andray Blatche	69	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	4	-15	17.2	14.8	2.41	16.8	15.7	1.10
Mike Miller	54	56	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.16	-23	16	-39	17.7	15.2	2.50	15.9	17.7	-1.77

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	73	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	-9	25	16.4	17.2	-0.80	17.4	13.9	3.42
Lamar Odom	64	63	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-5	17	16.7	16.0	0.68	17.3	15.3	2.04
Derek Fisher	47	46	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.13	17	-10	27	16.6	16.5	0.07	17.4	16.0	1.46
Pau Gasol	73	71	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.35	-1	8	-9	16.3	17.9	-1.65	16.0	20.3	-4.25
Metta World Peace	52	51	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	-6	19	15.8	17.6	-1.82	17.7	15.4	2.24
Josh Powell	35	35	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	3	1	16.3	16.7	-0.38	16.7	16.8	-0.02
Sasha Vujacic	14	14	0.20	0.29	-0.09	0.20	0	7	-7	19.2	16.0	3.19	14.4	17.2	-2.87
Shannon Brown	39	40	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.45	-11	18	-29	17.3	16.0	1.30	15.9	17.5	-1.60
Jordan Farmar	36	36	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.44	-14	21	-35	16.0	16.9	-0.92	15.3	17.8	-2.49
DJ Mbenga	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	8	-9	24.5	16.4	8.15	23.0	16.5	6.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 75, IND 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
UTA 72, LAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
CHA 87, GSW 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%