NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	92		Excitement	3.2 [1174]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +9.4%
Utah Jazz	108		Comeback	1.3 [1052]		LVP	P.J. Brown (NOH): -11.0%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.15	0.00	0.13	8	100%	0.06	2	-0.04	5	100%	-0.00
Junior Harrington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maciej Lampe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	6	64%	-0.01	0	0.00	10	80%	0.00
Jackson Vroman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	4	42%	0.01	4	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.02	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
George Lynch	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	5	17%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	10	82%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.00	-0.05	6	81%	0.10	3	-0.02	9	78%	-0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	10	62%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	69%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	10	42%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Raul Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Curtis Borchardt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	6	71%	0.01	3	-0.04	12	92%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	1.8	29.1	15.5	25.9	1.7	29.3	124.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +29.9%

UTA +6.5%

UTA +0.2%

UTA +11.6%

UTA +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	UTA	NBA	NOH	UTA	NBA
this game	16.8	15.2	15.5	102.2	120.0	104.0
season	16.5	16.7		97.7	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.7		106.7	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	19.6	17.9	15.0	15.4	16.8
UTA	16.4	14.2	15.0	15.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maciej Lampe	24	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-20	24	15.4	17.3	-1.92	15.2	15.2	0.05
Junior Harrington	33	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-15	14	15.9	17.4	-1.49	15.9	14.7	1.18
Jackson Vroman	35	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-13	10	17.1	16.7	0.43	14.1	15.9	-1.80
Rodney Rogers	45	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.03	-8	-8	0	16.8	16.8	0.00	15.9	14.4	1.50
J.R. Smith	35	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-9	2	19.0	15.4	3.61	15.3	15.1	0.18
Bostjan Nachbar	46	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-10	4	15.3	18.4	-3.02	15.3	15.1	0.21
George Lynch	44	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	-6	-4	18.4	15.3	3.02	15.1	15.3	-0.21
Chris Andersen	34	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	-1	-14	16.2	17.2	-1.04	15.3	15.1	0.23
P.J. Brown	42	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-6	-4	17.9	15.9	2.07	15.1	15.2	-0.07
Casey Jacobsen	56	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-4	-8	16.1	18.1	-2.03	14.8	15.8	-1.05
Dan Dickau	56	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	-4	-8	16.8	16.9	-0.14	15.1	15.4	-0.29

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	57	56	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.03	18	-2	20	14.8	15.9	-1.11	17.4	15.9	1.56
Raja Bell	44	43	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.35	28	-12	40	13.2	17.1	-3.91	17.0	16.7	0.25
Matt Harpring	57	57	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.15	21	-5	26	13.7	17.7	-3.93	16.5	17.4	-0.95
Andrei Kirilenko	63	66	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.07	15	1	14	15.0	15.7	-0.75	17.0	16.5	0.50
Raul Lopez	51	51	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	4	8	15.4	14.9	0.54	16.9	16.8	0.09
Howard Eisley	39	39	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	12	-8	14.9	15.4	-0.54	16.8	16.9	-0.09
Mehmet Okur	40	41	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	10	-4	15.2	15.2	0.04	15.7	17.8	-2.09
Jarron Collins	33	33	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	16	-16	17.0	14.1	2.93	17.4	16.5	0.95
Kirk Snyder	31	32	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.06	-1	17	-18	17.5	13.9	3.62	17.7	16.3	1.44
Gordan Giricek	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	27	-38	16.1	15.0	1.15	14.5	17.3	-2.83
Kris Humphries	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	16.1	15.1	1.04	16.7	16.8	-0.17
Curtis Borchardt	10	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.18	-8	24	-32	20.0	14.6	5.42	17.6	16.7	0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.83,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 78, HOU 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.75,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
LAC 89, MIL 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
LAC 80, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%