inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 90 Excitement7.8 [294] MVPCarlos Delfino (MIL): +29.6%
Miami Heat 85 Comeback2.4 [209] LVPMike Bibby (MIA): -25.2%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carlos Delfino0.300,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.17,0.11,0.30.030.26-0.01950%0.3000.0000%0.00
Corey Maggette0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.070.080.00770%0.181-0.036100%0.05
Luc Mbah a Moute0.060,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.060.030.050.011450%0.0600.0000%0.00
Keyon Dooling0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.060.060.010.024100%0.132-0.072100%0.00
Larry Sanders0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Redd-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.02-0.060.00753%0.021-0.073100%0.01
Brandon Jennings-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05-0.04-0.010.01945%0.082-0.142100%0.01
Andrew Bogut-0.060,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06-0.00-0.050.00743%-0.0600.0000%0.00
John Salmons-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11-0.03-0.080.001650%-0.033-0.082100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.080.090.003100%0.1700.002100%0.02
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.08,0.050.050.030.020.002256%0.144-0.09875%-0.04
Erick Dampier0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01545%0.0000.001100%0.01
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.00-0.002100%0.052-0.0600%0.00
James Jones0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.01542%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01-0.010.02-0.010.02757%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.050.011547%-0.042-0.04875%0.03
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.13-0.05-0.00911%-0.151-0.0300%0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.25-0.25-0.08-0.18-0.00475%0.076-0.3200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.83.531.217.823.23.539.2142.1
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +56.3%
MIA -12.9%
MIA -6.6%
MIL +14.3%
MIA -1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILMIANBAMILMIANBA
this game16.117.315.5104.798.8105.7
season16.216.0100.1109.0
opponent15.615.4102.3100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL17.715.816.914.316.1
MIA17.414.218.220.017.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Jennings59590.74-0.240.980.3912-71915.916.6-0.6617.018.1-1.06
Luc Mbah a Moute69690.69-0.190.880.4010-51516.016.8-0.8516.720.1-3.38
Carlos Delfino51500.63-0.130.770.3111-61716.316.00.2817.417.30.07
Andrew Bogut65660.60-0.100.700.339-41315.817.3-1.5217.417.00.39
John Salmons68680.340.160.170.2241316.315.40.9517.815.62.27
Michael Redd13140.040.46-0.430.0405-518.415.72.6415.917.6-1.70
Larry Sanders77-0.030.53-0.560.06-38-1119.615.83.7416.417.4-1.00
Keyon Dooling3231-0.110.61-0.730.06-611-1715.216.7-1.5217.617.20.36
Corey Maggette3536-0.130.63-0.770.04-611-1716.016.3-0.2817.317.4-0.07
Drew Gooden3130-0.260.76-1.02-0.08-611-1716.515.90.5918.916.52.38

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mario Chalmers28280.11-0.610.72-0.014-91318.616.71.9216.715.80.91
Juwan Howard12120.09-0.590.680.032-7916.717.5-0.7917.116.01.10
Mike Miller48480.07-0.570.63-0.023-81117.217.6-0.4115.317.2-1.87
Zydrunas Ilgauskas88-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-1-316.717.4-0.6615.416.2-0.84
Erick Dampier2626-0.17-0.330.150.00-61-718.017.00.9918.215.32.89
Joel Anthony4947-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.413-81117.217.5-0.2916.315.90.44
James Jones5960-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.35-3-2-118.015.92.1316.116.2-0.13
Chris Bosh7171-0.510.01-0.52-0.36-50-517.516.70.7516.116.2-0.07
Mike Bibby5858-0.610.11-0.72-0.35-94-1316.718.6-1.9215.816.7-0.91
LeBron James7172-0.620.12-0.75-0.33-105-1516.819.9-3.1315.817.9-2.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.28,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.22,0.28,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 87, ORL 800.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.27,0.27,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.15,0.09,091.5%
PHX 87, BOS 800.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.47,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.42,091.4%
DEN 111, POR 1090.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.59,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.16,0.16,091.2%