NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	87		Excitement	9.0 [138]		MVP	Alex Len (PHX): +31.6%
Boston Celtics	80		Comeback	2.4 [563]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -35.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Len	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.32	0.06	0.26	0.00	2	86%	0.32	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.13,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.09	0.07	-0.03	-0.05	12	57%	0.17	1	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Markieff Morris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.04,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	13	54%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	33%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Miles Plumlee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Archie Goodwin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.07	-0.09	0.03	15	62%	0.08	2	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Ish Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06
Channing Frye	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	9	20%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	9	22%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	11	50%	0.00	7	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	7	61%	0.20	3	-0.15	4	100%	0.04
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	8	61%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	12	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	12	33%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	12	30%	-0.12	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22	-0.22	-0.13	-0.10	-0.01	14	28%	-0.18	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.06
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.36,-0.36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.01	15	27%	-0.29	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.4	27.4	15.8	26.2	2.6	32.4	129.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +92.1%

BOS -4.0%

BOS -16.3%

BOS -18.4%

BOS -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	BOS	NBA	PHX	BOS	NBA
this game	13.3	15.8	15.1	87.9	80.8	105.2
season	14.7	15.4		107.7	101.2
opponent	15.0	14.9		106.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.7	14.6	13.9	12.9	13.3
BOS	17.6	13.6	14.3	17.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	59	59	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.33	19	-12	31	12.7	14.2	-1.57	16.4	14.9	1.47
Markieff Morris	52	51	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.36	12	-5	17	13.3	13.3	-0.05	15.7	15.8	-0.07
PJ Tucker	84	84	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.39	10	-3	13	13.0	14.9	-1.91	16.0	14.7	1.23
Alex Len	17	17	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.33	10	-3	13	12.6	13.5	-0.80	17.9	15.3	2.61
Goran Dragic	79	80	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.23	13	-6	19	12.5	16.7	-4.24	16.5	12.8	3.63
Channing Frye	68	68	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.04	8	-1	9	12.4	15.4	-3.07	16.1	15.0	1.09
Archie Goodwin	8	7	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	3	1	18.2	12.9	5.37	15.4	15.8	-0.38
Marcus Morris	20	20	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.06	-6	13	-19	15.8	12.7	3.18	14.4	16.1	-1.66
Miles Plumlee	44	44	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.02	-8	15	-23	13.7	13.0	0.66	15.1	16.3	-1.24
Ish Smith	20	21	-0.41	0.91	-1.33	-0.06	-12	19	-31	15.4	12.8	2.68	15.8	15.8	-0.02
Gerald Green	44	44	-0.42	0.92	-1.33	0.02	-15	22	-37	14.6	12.3	2.38	13.4	17.7	-4.30

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Phil Pressey	28	27	0.30	-0.80	1.11	-0.02	11	-18	29	14.4	16.3	-1.93	15.6	12.5	3.08
Kelly Olynyk	59	59	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.03	8	-15	23	14.8	17.1	-2.30	13.7	12.7	0.99
Avery Bradley	35	35	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.02	3	-10	13	15.0	16.2	-1.25	13.4	13.2	0.18
Jared Sullinger	44	45	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.18	-9	2	-11	16.0	15.6	0.48	11.0	15.2	-4.24
Chris Johnson	55	55	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.29	6	-13	19	15.1	16.6	-1.42	14.7	11.6	3.06
Kris Humphries	51	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.42	3	-10	13	15.1	16.5	-1.44	15.1	11.4	3.68
Jerryd Bayless	34	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.06	-14	7	-21	17.3	15.0	2.31	11.9	14.0	-2.09
Jeff Green	74	74	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.38	-9	2	-11	15.9	15.3	0.61	12.9	14.6	-1.72
Brandon Bass	44	43	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.32	-16	9	-25	17.6	14.3	3.22	13.1	13.5	-0.43
Rajon Rondo	71	72	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.28	-18	11	-29	16.3	14.4	1.93	12.5	15.6	-3.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.47,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 82, MIL 80	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.67,0.47,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.55,0.72,0.33,0.42,0	91.5%
MIL 90, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.28,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.22,0.28,0	91.4%
SAS 89, SEA 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.63,0.68,0.58,0	91.3%