NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	107		Excitement	6.8 [476]		MVP	JaVale McGee (WAS): +19.4%
Washington Wizards	115		Comeback	2.4 [545]		LVP	Baron Davis (CLE): -10.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.03	-0.00	16	65%	0.20	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
Alonzo Gee	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	9	67%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	8	63%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
JJ Hickson	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	10	66%	0.10	2	-0.05	12	75%	-0.01
Luke Harangody	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	11	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Parker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.04	7	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Christian Eyenga	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	12	42%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.07	0.02	15	68%	0.21	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.07
Othyus Jeffers	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	7	68%	0.11	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.05	0.01	18	51%	0.13	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Andray Blatche	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	32	49%	0.10	4	-0.09	9	67%	-0.02
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hamady Ndiaye	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mustafa Shakur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.7	29.3	15.4	26.4	1.8	31.3	132.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +32.0%

CLE -10.5%

WAS +35.7%

CLE -8.8%

WAS +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	15.3	16.4	15.5	117.6	126.4	105.7
season	15.1	15.1		100.8	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.4		108.7	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.7	15.4	17.5	13.6	15.3
WAS	17.2	18.2	15.9	14.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Gibson	44	44	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-10	12	13.4	17.0	-3.63	15.3	17.4	-2.11
Ramon Sessions	48	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.24	3	-11	14	14.0	16.7	-2.67	17.9	14.7	3.24
Ryan Hollins	53	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-7	6	15.5	15.0	0.45	17.1	15.4	1.65
Alonzo Gee	45	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-4	0	16.5	14.1	2.42	16.0	16.8	-0.76
Luke Harangody	59	59	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.22	-1	-7	6	14.7	16.3	-1.67	17.1	15.1	1.94
Anthony Parker	58	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	-2	-4	15.5	14.9	0.60	16.5	16.1	0.38
Christian Eyenga	30	30	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	0	-8	16.0	14.9	1.15	16.6	16.3	0.37
Baron Davis	48	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	3	-14	16.4	14.0	2.31	15.9	17.0	-1.05
JJ Hickson	70	70	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.15	-14	6	-20	15.6	14.1	1.52	15.3	20.0	-4.76

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Crawford	79	80	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.28	14	-6	20	16.1	18.4	-2.34	15.7	12.1	3.61
JaVale McGee	56	57	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-5	18	15.2	18.2	-2.95	17.4	11.7	5.63
Othyus Jeffers	64	63	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.17	7	1	6	16.6	15.9	0.76	14.9	16.1	-1.27
Andray Blatche	76	75	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.12	7	1	6	16.5	15.7	0.86	15.3	15.3	-0.06
Yi Jianlian	34	32	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.17	5	3	2	17.0	16.0	1.03	13.3	16.3	-3.01
Maurice Evans	68	71	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	5	-2	16.1	17.1	-1.00	15.2	15.6	-0.43
Cartier Martin	41	39	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	6	-4	17.0	15.8	1.21	16.2	14.6	1.60
Mustafa Shakur	21	20	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	10	-12	16.4	16.4	-0.00	13.3	15.8	-2.52
Hamady Ndiaye	2	2	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	10	-12	21.0	16.3	4.72	12.5	15.3	-2.83
Kevin Seraphin	14	16	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.00	-7	15	-22	17.9	16.1	1.82	12.1	15.9	-3.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.51,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.83,0.94,0.83,0.93,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 99, DEN 113	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	92.6%
TOR 101, DEN 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.5%
WAS 92, SAC 100	0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.74,0.84,0.8,0.71,0.72,0.54,0.57,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.4%