inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 99 Excitement6.4 [577] MVPPeja Stojakovic (SAC): +18.7%
Denver Nuggets 113 Comeback2.8 [745] LVPMike Bibby (SAC): -18.5%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic0.190,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.150.060.021473%0.1900.005100%0.06
Darius Songaila0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.020.00580%0.0800.0000%0.00
Eddie House0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.00580%0.092-0.0600%0.00
Cuttino Mobley-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.010.011160%0.062-0.07887%0.02
Maurice Evans-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02420%-0.0300.002100%0.00
Kenny Thomas-0.050,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.100.01-0.041545%-0.013-0.04862%-0.01
Brian Skinner-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00525%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Corliss Williamson-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.030.00333%-0.012-0.0800%0.00
Greg Ostertag-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.020.00225%-0.081-0.02450%-0.04
Mike Bibby-0.190,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.12-0.07-0.001642%-0.054-0.13475%-0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.080.04-0.011761%0.1200.001283%0.02
Greg Buckner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.040.02685%0.1200.001100%0.00
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.03-0.011164%0.122-0.0630%-0.03
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.000.05-0.011055%0.122-0.0600%0.00
DerMarr Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.010.01590%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.020.021556%0.052-0.042100%0.01
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.01-0.00760%0.073-0.11633%-0.06
Wesley Person0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.000.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Kenyon Martin0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.02-0.01427%-0.072-0.04333%-0.03
Francisco Elson0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.07-0.040.01636%-0.062-0.06250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.530.515.631.12.527.5135.9
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +43.7%
SAC -7.1%
DEN +13.6%
DEN +0.1%
SAC -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACDENNBASACDENNBA
this game16.513.715.5105.3116.5104.0
season14.714.8108.1103.8
opponent15.615.6102.3106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC17.115.316.417.316.5
DEN12.415.312.414.813.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Maurice Evans17170.18-0.680.870.074-182215.616.7-1.0514.213.60.59
Greg Ostertag26250.07-0.570.64-0.147-212816.216.6-0.3912.614.1-1.47
Corliss Williamson24260.00-0.500.50-0.093-172016.016.7-0.7416.412.73.73
Darius Songaila3333-0.02-0.480.47-0.227-212816.216.7-0.4613.513.8-0.27
Eddie House2526-0.07-0.430.37-0.070-141416.916.40.5615.912.93.05
Kenny Thomas7376-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.01-151-1616.716.00.7213.116.0-2.95
Brian Skinner4547-0.48-0.02-0.450.05-184-2216.916.20.6813.513.9-0.43
Cuttino Mobley7882-0.550.05-0.61-0.03-184-2216.715.41.2913.514.8-1.31
Mike Bibby7374-0.570.07-0.64-0.04-184-2216.416.8-0.3213.016.0-2.97
Peja Stojakovic7679-0.620.12-0.740.02-228-3016.416.8-0.3314.012.41.60

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Miller74710.67-0.170.84-0.0123-93213.713.7-0.0116.616.30.27
DerMarr Johnson41390.52-0.020.53-0.0419-52411.715.1-3.4416.716.40.31
Carmelo Anthony68680.51-0.010.52-0.0218-42213.414.3-0.9316.716.10.60
Francisco Elson52520.490.010.470.19104614.013.30.7516.916.10.79
Nene43420.240.26-0.01-0.05104613.114.1-0.9916.416.6-0.19
Kenyon Martin36350.180.32-0.14-0.0686214.413.31.0716.616.50.10
Greg Buckner57540.160.34-0.170.10212-1015.011.83.1816.217.0-0.81
Eduardo Najera4442-0.030.53-0.550.00-115-1612.914.3-1.3916.416.6-0.23
Earl Boykins4744-0.070.57-0.650.22-1024-3414.612.91.6716.316.7-0.45
Wesley Person2323-0.170.67-0.840.09-923-3213.713.70.0116.316.6-0.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 98, SAS 1190.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.7,0.72,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,194.4%
PHX 91, MEM 1100.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,193.6%
SEA 84, SAS 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.85,0.75,0.7,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,193.3%