NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	92		Excitement	6.5 [492]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +24.8%
Sacramento Kings	100		Comeback	1.6 [852]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (WAS): -25.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Jeffries	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Christian Laettner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	20	42%	-0.04	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Kwame Brown	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	15	45%	-0.00	3	-0.10	10	80%	0.03
Brendan Haywood	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	0.03	6	50%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Etan Thomas	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	6	50%	-0.09	1	-0.03	6	17%	-0.11
Gilbert Arenas	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.25,-0.24,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21	-0.11	-0.09	0.01	22	47%	-0.12	3	-0.10	14	86%	0.04
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.17	-0.11	-0.02	9	35%	-0.05	6	-0.20	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.12	0.12	-0.01	19	67%	0.28	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	3	40%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	9	60%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	23	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	18	52%	-0.04	3	-0.07	8	87%	-0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	4	-0.11	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	28.3	15.4	25.5	2.5	40.2	136.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +48.4%

WAS -5.2%

WAS -25.0%

SAC +25.1%

SAC +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SAC	NBA	WAS	SAC	NBA
this game	14.6	14.3	15.7	92.0	101.0	100.5
season	15.2	14.7		96.4	106.9
opponent	15.6	15.3		102.0	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	18.6	12.4	14.0	14.1	14.6
SAC	14.0	12.9	14.8	15.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitchell Butler	29	30	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.09	4	-12	16	13.9	14.9	-1.00	12.9	15.0	-2.02
Christian Laettner	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-7	6	12.9	14.8	-1.89	13.5	14.5	-0.93
Chris Whitney	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-8	8	4.0	14.8	-10.79	12.5	14.4	-1.88
Etan Thomas	65	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-9	10	13.3	17.0	-3.74	14.5	14.0	0.58
Jerry Stackhouse	57	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.24	0	-8	8	13.7	15.7	-2.06	14.1	14.7	-0.57
Brendan Haywood	33	33	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	1	-10	17.8	13.0	4.80	14.1	14.5	-0.42
Jared Jeffries	39	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	4	-16	16.1	13.6	2.55	14.6	14.1	0.49
Larry Hughes	85	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	-2	-4	14.5	15.1	-0.66	14.6	13.1	1.43
Kwame Brown	87	86	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.30	-7	-1	-6	14.8	12.9	1.89	14.5	13.5	0.93
Gilbert Arenas	90	89	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.25	-10	2	-12	14.8	12.7	2.08	14.6	11.7	2.94

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	86	86	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.25	22	-14	36	14.2	15.5	-1.29	15.1	11.5	3.57
Brad Miller	78	79	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.22	20	-12	32	13.6	17.1	-3.49	15.8	9.9	5.97
Peja Stojakovic	93	95	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	-1	10	14.5	11.2	3.38	14.8	9.4	5.44
Chris Webber	80	81	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	3	2	14.4	14.2	0.23	14.3	15.9	-1.64
Darius Songaila	27	26	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	11	-14	16.9	13.4	3.55	13.8	14.9	-1.08
Doug Christie	81	82	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	8	-8	14.6	13.3	1.30	14.5	15.1	-0.59
Anthony Peeler	39	39	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	15	-22	13.6	14.8	-1.16	12.5	15.9	-3.41
Tony Massenburg	11	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	14	-20	13.3	14.5	-1.20	11.9	14.9	-3.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.74,0.84,0.8,0.71,0.72,0.54,0.57,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 84, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.85,0.75,0.7,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%
PHI 122, ATL 130	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.82,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,1	93.0%
GSW 108, MIN 115	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	92.8%