NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	90		Excitement	8.4 [186]		MVP	Ed Davis (TOR): +24.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	94		Comeback	12.3 [257]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): -23.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ed Davis	0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24	0.13	0.11	0.00	11	70%	0.24	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.06
Jerryd Bayless	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Joey Dorsey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	13	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Alexis Ajinca	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	11	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jose Calderon	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	10	59%	0.04	4	-0.11	7	100%	0.04
Leandro Barbosa	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.23	-0.07	-0.16	0.00	13	47%	-0.10	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.23	-0.15	-0.10	-0.01	15	22%	-0.15	1	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.02	14	55%	0.15	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Eric Gordon	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.10	0.00	14	57%	0.24	5	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	7	53%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.04
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jamario Moon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	12	58%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.25,-0.16,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	23	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	9	44%	-0.11
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.7	33.3	15.8	28.0	1.8	38.3	143.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +49.9%

TOR -1.2%

LAC +11.3%

TOR -8.0%

TOR -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAC	NBA	TOR	LAC	NBA
this game	16.4	13.6	15.5	95.7	94.9	105.7
season	15.1	15.4		104.7	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.5		107.2	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	18.1	14.2	15.8	17.9	16.4
LAC	14.0	13.0	13.6	13.6	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexis Ajinca	22	23	0.28	-0.78	1.05	-0.02	10	-14	24	14.5	16.9	-2.37	12.8	13.8	-0.95
Jerryd Bayless	26	31	0.26	-0.76	1.03	-0.00	9	-13	22	17.1	16.1	0.99	13.0	13.8	-0.81
Joey Dorsey	25	29	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.13	2	-6	8	16.2	16.4	-0.22	13.3	13.7	-0.40
James Johnson	66	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.32	2	-6	8	16.3	16.4	-0.10	13.7	13.3	0.35
Amir Johnson	54	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	5	-14	17.2	15.2	2.07	13.9	13.2	0.73
Leandro Barbosa	65	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.39	-4	0	-4	15.4	18.6	-3.17	12.9	14.9	-2.01
DeMar DeRozan	66	68	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.49	-6	2	-8	17.2	14.4	2.75	14.5	11.5	2.97
Ed Davis	78	83	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.39	-11	7	-18	16.5	15.9	0.59	13.4	14.1	-0.68
Jose Calderon	68	69	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.38	-13	9	-22	16.1	17.1	-0.99	13.6	13.4	0.27

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	66	65	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.44	15	-11	26	13.7	13.2	0.47	16.2	16.7	-0.47
Eric Gordon	75	73	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.23	17	-13	30	13.7	13.2	0.40	16.4	16.1	0.34
Blake Griffin	79	77	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.41	9	-5	14	13.8	12.7	1.01	16.4	16.4	0.01
Chris Kaman	66	64	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.45	7	-3	10	13.4	13.9	-0.48	16.9	15.2	1.66
Randy Foye	65	59	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.53	4	0	4	13.5	13.7	-0.18	16.6	15.9	0.71
Ryan Gomes	24	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	3	-2	14.0	13.4	0.53	18.0	15.8	2.14
Jamario Moon	4	4	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	6	-8	6.5	13.9	-7.35	11.0	16.6	-5.60
DeAndre Jordan	32	29	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.09	-3	7	-10	14.1	13.3	0.80	15.6	16.7	-1.12
Craig Smith	20	17	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.01	-7	11	-18	12.7	13.8	-1.01	16.4	16.4	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	31	29	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.01	-10	14	-24	13.8	13.4	0.41	14.7	17.1	-2.47
Eric Bledsoe	33	29	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	-0.05	-11	15	-26	13.2	13.7	-0.47	16.7	16.2	0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.23,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.39,0.54,0.72,0.55,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 77, SAS 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.27,0.38,0.72,0.87,0.87,1	91.9%
MIL 95, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.4,0.52,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.11,0.18,0.25,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.63,0.55,0.85,1	91.8%
TOR 98, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.26,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.15,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.63,0.67,1,1	90.9%