inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 77 Excitement7.4 [332] MVPShandon Anderson (HOU): +3.1%
San Antonio Spurs 83 Comeback7.0 [451] LVPCuttino Mobley (HOU): -35.3%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shandon Anderson0.030,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.02668%0.0300.00757%-0.03
Thomas Hamilton-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00546%-0.0100.00367%-0.00
Walt Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.001150%0.043-0.0700%0.00
Kelvin Cato-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.050.00744%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Steve Francis-0.090,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09-0.00-0.060.021563%0.054-0.14875%-0.02
Bryce Drew-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.00714%-0.081-0.0300%0.00
Kenny Thomas-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12-0.07-0.05-0.00743%0.013-0.1300%0.00
Carlos Rogers-0.150,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.11-0.04-0.00927%-0.131-0.0140%-0.09
Matt Bullard-0.170,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.07-0.090.011035%-0.042-0.1300%0.00
Cuttino Mobley-0.350,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.28,-0.35-0.19-0.18-0.01817%-0.194-0.16250%-0.04

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerome Kersey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.010.00667%0.051-0.0400%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.020.021653%0.031-0.04667%-0.01
Chucky Brown0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.020.00737%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00744%-0.0200.00250%-0.02
Jaren Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.010.00333%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Samaki Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.000.0000%-0.031-0.0320%-0.03
David Robinson0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.010.021347%-0.032-0.054100%0.06
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.05-0.00479%0.095-0.186100%0.03
Avery Johnson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.030.001225%-0.1200.0000%0.00
Mario Elie0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.050.00650%-0.043-0.10667%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.32.530.317.828.02.040.3143.3
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +8.5%
SAS +21.2%
HOU -13.6%
SAS +31.0%
SAS +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUSASNBAHOUSASNBA
this game16.414.515.282.889.2101.7
season15.415.5102.4101.6
opponent15.414.695.9103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU16.717.616.814.816.4
SAS15.214.413.415.214.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shandon Anderson60600.33-0.831.170.108-142216.416.5-0.0714.913.81.19
Thomas Hamilton50510.14-0.640.77-0.1911-172816.216.7-0.4814.614.40.22
Bryce Drew38350.02-0.520.540.17-5-1-416.016.7-0.7513.815.0-1.21
Walt Williams1515-0.04-0.460.42-0.01-1-5415.716.6-0.8416.814.12.71
Carlos Rogers6160-0.21-0.290.08-0.18-1-5417.913.64.3414.115.2-1.11
Kelvin Cato3837-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.05-115-1617.116.01.0315.414.01.37
Matt Bullard5860-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.421-7816.117.0-0.9413.616.1-2.47
Kenny Thomas3434-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.28-71-814.017.8-3.8515.414.11.30
Steve Francis6467-0.610.11-0.73-0.41-71-817.114.92.1914.015.8-1.83
Cuttino Mobley4746-0.880.38-1.27-0.36-1812-3016.116.8-0.6314.814.20.59

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terry Porter56550.92-0.411.330.2722-163813.216.5-3.2116.815.90.92
Mario Elie57560.76-0.261.030.4411-51614.514.50.0417.315.12.21
Tim Duncan83830.58-0.080.670.2910-41414.217.5-3.3316.913.03.86
David Robinson56570.58-0.080.660.4933015.712.72.9815.817.4-1.55
Avery Johnson58590.53-0.030.570.4824-214.714.20.4816.616.20.37
Samaki Walker880.060.44-0.37-0.0233013.114.7-1.5319.016.22.80
Chucky Brown3030-0.210.71-0.920.06-915-2416.013.82.1717.116.10.92
Malik Rose3938-0.230.73-0.96-0.11-410-1413.915.0-1.1315.916.8-0.92
Jerome Kersey3434-0.240.74-0.98-0.12-410-1414.614.50.1915.117.2-2.04
Jaren Jackson4445-0.260.76-1.03-0.15-410-1414.814.30.5115.317.5-2.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.27,0.38,0.72,0.87,0.87,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 103, TOR 1080.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.13,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.07,0.1,0.19,0.33,0.47,0.77,0.89,0.73,193.9%
TOR 90, LAC 940.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.23,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.39,0.54,0.72,0.55,0.92,191.9%
ATL 104, LAC 1110.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.14,0.19,0.25,0.4,0.4,0.53,0.72,0.94,1,191.9%