NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	95		Excitement	8.7 [150]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): +22.2%
Detroit Pistons	101		Comeback	10.1 [130]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -35.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.22	0.17	0.05	-0.00	20	67%	0.22	0	0.00	6	83%	0.05
Dale Ellis	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	3	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	10	57%	0.05	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
Vinny Del Negro	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	5	64%	0.01	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.26	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.29,-0.19,-0.26	-0.18	-0.11	-0.04	17	41%	0.04	7	-0.30	3	67%	-0.03
Haywoode Workman	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.3	-0.02	-0.28	0.00	14	44%	-0.30	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.11	0.11	-0.03	0.13	-0.00	5	43%	0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	0.02
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.28,0.26,0.05,0.17,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	21	67%	0.37	5	-0.29	4	75%	0.03
Christian Laettner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	-0.00	-0.04	10	67%	0.07	2	-0.01	10	80%	0.02
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	61%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	-0.00	8	55%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.35	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	19	44%	-0.14	6	-0.21	3	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.7	24.3	15.6	25.2	1.7	42.3	136.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +34.3%

MIL -5.7%

DET +34.8%

MIL -13.5%

DET +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	DET	NBA	MIL	DET	NBA
this game	16.1	15.2	15.2	104.4	108.6	101.7
season	14.9	14.1		105.5	104.2
opponent	15.3	15.4		103.0	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.2	18.9	13.4	17.7	16.1
DET	13.0	19.0	15.9	13.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vinny Del Negro	32	31	0.28	-0.78	1.07	0.14	5	-11	16	17.0	15.6	1.36	18.5	13.6	4.98
Scott Williams	29	31	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.01	4	-10	14	14.8	16.7	-1.85	14.9	15.4	-0.44
Danny Manning	31	29	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.06	1	-7	8	18.1	15.1	3.00	18.3	13.8	4.53
Dale Ellis	28	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.15	-7	1	-8	19.3	14.7	4.62	16.9	14.5	2.39
Haywoode Workman	71	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-8	10	15.0	20.1	-5.14	14.4	18.5	-4.08
Glenn Robinson	75	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.38	-5	-1	-4	15.2	20.1	-4.90	13.9	21.5	-7.58
Tim Thomas	50	52	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.44	-4	-2	-2	16.1	16.1	-0.02	15.5	14.9	0.67
Ervin Johnson	60	61	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.36	-9	3	-12	15.6	17.1	-1.53	14.1	17.4	-3.28
Ray Allen	79	82	-0.84	0.34	-1.19	-0.34	-17	11	-28	16.5	13.2	3.27	15.0	16.6	-1.60

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	75	74	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.40	17	-11	28	13.9	20.6	-6.61	16.4	14.9	1.41
Lindsey Hunter	80	80	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.32	11	-5	16	14.1	21.8	-7.70	16.0	16.6	-0.62
Jerome Williams	55	54	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.30	11	-5	16	16.1	14.0	2.12	17.0	14.7	2.29
Jerry Stackhouse	74	74	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.38	2	4	-2	15.0	16.1	-1.11	15.4	19.1	-3.73
Michael Curry	34	33	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.45	-4	10	-14	15.4	15.2	0.20	14.8	16.8	-1.94
Christian Laettner	64	64	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.19	5	1	4	15.1	15.5	-0.42	16.7	14.5	2.23
Jud Buechler	28	26	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	6	-6	18.6	13.8	4.84	17.5	15.5	1.92
John Crotty	13	11	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.00	-5	11	-16	21.8	14.1	7.70	16.6	16.0	0.62
Terry Mills	42	39	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.01	-7	13	-20	14.6	15.7	-1.11	14.7	17.2	-2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.4,0.52,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.11,0.18,0.25,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.63,0.55,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 90, LAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.23,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.39,0.54,0.72,0.55,0.92,1	91.8%
CHI 74, PHI 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.39,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.25,0.46,0.55,0.91,1	90.7%
SAS 93, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.39,0.55,0.58,1	90.6%