inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 96 Excitement6.5 [529] MVPPaul Pierce (BOS): +25.3%
New York Knicks 86 Comeback8.9 [172] LVPRay Allen (BOS): -10.7%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.250.140.130.011370%0.2500.004100%0.02
Kevin Garnett0.180,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.180.140.060.021571%0.201-0.024100%0.02
Glen Davis0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.020.080.00844%0.081-0.032100%0.01
Jeff Green0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.000.03-0.01644%0.0400.00475%0.00
Nenad Krstic0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.00558%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Carlos Arroyo0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Troy Murphy-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Delonte West-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.010.00217%-0.021-0.02250%-0.02
Rajon Rondo-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07-0.080.01-0.001539%0.023-0.09333%-0.03
Ray Allen-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.03-0.030.041641%-0.081-0.025100%0.01

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ronny Turiaf0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.020.01769%0.1000.00250%-0.01
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.01-0.003100%0.0800.0000%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.011752%0.072-0.05887%0.05
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.01-0.001560%0.235-0.235100%0.03
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00125%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Shawne Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.0330%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Landry Fields0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.04-0.01629%-0.0700.002100%0.01
Toney Douglas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.04-0.02731%-0.002-0.10250%-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.03-0.080.001547%-0.023-0.08450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.82.732.215.729.31.036.2139.9
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +28.5%
NYK -12.6%
BOS +9.5%
BOS +25.4%
NYK -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSNYKNBABOSNYKNBA
this game16.316.615.5111.696.6105.7
season15.714.3104.8108.6
opponent15.515.8108.499.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS16.317.714.416.816.3
NYK18.815.816.215.916.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Garnett59630.82-0.321.150.1822-123414.919.1-4.2017.115.61.50
Ray Allen68700.72-0.220.940.1918-82615.818.1-2.3316.616.7-0.06
Paul Pierce62660.66-0.160.830.1916-62215.418.5-3.1517.314.72.68
Glen Davis53540.63-0.130.750.2413-31617.314.72.6016.217.3-1.06
Rajon Rondo77790.60-0.100.690.1017-72415.721.3-5.6616.914.42.52
Carlos Arroyo57-0.050.55-0.610.09-515-2017.816.21.6316.016.7-0.70
Troy Murphy34-0.070.57-0.650.01-313-1621.016.14.9020.216.53.78
Nenad Krstic4750-0.120.62-0.74-0.00-414-1815.217.5-2.2816.616.7-0.09
Delonte West2322-0.280.78-1.050.02-1020-3019.715.04.6815.916.9-1.03
Jeff Green3330-0.410.91-1.310.00-1424-3819.514.35.2214.517.7-3.18

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Roger Mason Jr.17170.21-0.710.92-0.1111-213215.217.0-1.7421.115.15.97
Toney Douglas34350.12-0.620.740.120-101015.217.5-2.3717.915.12.83
Jared Jeffries31320.03-0.530.560.12-3-7415.317.4-2.0715.916.5-0.53
Ronny Turiaf4945-0.13-0.370.24-0.161-111218.114.83.2516.116.5-0.42
Shawne Williams4444-0.15-0.350.20-0.12-1-9815.517.8-2.3018.513.94.66
Carmelo Anthony6866-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.31-3-7416.816.00.8416.615.21.39
Chauncey Billups6763-0.670.17-0.84-0.17-177-2417.015.41.6415.319.0-3.79
Amar'e Stoudemire6663-0.720.22-0.95-0.23-177-2417.314.72.6815.119.4-4.32
Landry Fields6965-0.790.29-1.07-0.17-2111-3216.816.20.5714.621.3-6.64


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.87,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.71,0.4,0.26,0.37,0.09,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 113, LAL 1080.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.4,0.46,0.16,0.02,0,092.0%
UTA 94, SAC 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.53,0.39,0.28,0.17,0.05,091.2%
WAS 85, NJN 780.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.47,0.46,0.15,0.04,091.2%