NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	113		Excitement	5.5 [740]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): +31.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	108		Comeback	15.6 [42]		LVP	Michael Olowokandi (MIN): -6.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.31	0.25	0.13	0.07	16	89%	0.38	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0.30	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.15	0.16	0.00	16	72%	0.37	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
Troy Hudson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.07	-0.02	13	67%	0.20	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.10	0.01	6	64%	0.14	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Marko Jaric	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	10	55%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Madsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rashad McCants	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.18	0.05	0.01	14	79%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	7	71%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.04	0.01	16	59%	0.08	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,-0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	16	63%	0.17	6	-0.17	6	100%	0.03
Devin Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Laron Profit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	4	82%	0.08	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	16	53%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.7	32.2	16.8	29.1	2.5	31.3	136.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +43.0%

MIN +0.2%

LAL -17.9%

MIN +25.6%

LAL -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	17.4	15.5	15.6	127.0	125.6	104.4
season	16.1	15.6		101.0	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.9		104.3	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	18.0	16.6	19.1	16.0	17.4
LAL	15.3	17.7	15.2	14.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Hudson	50	50	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.36	11	-6	17	16.4	18.6	-2.22	14.7	16.7	-2.03
Marko Jaric	77	74	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-6	17	17.5	16.8	0.62	15.8	13.7	2.05
Trenton Hassell	41	40	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.41	8	-3	11	16.8	17.9	-1.14	15.3	15.7	-0.30
Wally Szczerbiak	82	79	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.30	11	-6	17	17.4	16.6	0.87	15.3	17.9	-2.55
Kevin Garnett	70	66	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.42	2	3	-1	17.3	17.6	-0.26	16.0	13.7	2.30
Ronald Dupree	9	9	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.06	6	-1	7	20.0	17.1	2.92	12.1	15.9	-3.80
Mark Madsen	4	5	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.06	2	3	-1	15.0	17.5	-2.48	13.8	15.6	-1.82
Eddie Griffin	33	33	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	7	-9	17.0	17.6	-0.54	13.9	16.5	-2.55
Rashad McCants	12	13	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.05	-8	13	-21	17.5	17.4	0.15	18.1	15.1	3.02
Michael Olowokandi	44	41	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.04	-12	17	-29	18.4	16.3	2.10	17.2	13.9	3.31

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bynum	15	13	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.05	4	-9	13	17.3	15.1	2.13	18.7	17.1	1.55
Brian Cook	62	65	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.06	0	-5	5	14.7	17.5	-2.82	17.5	17.1	0.34
Laron Profit	22	22	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.07	-2	-3	1	16.7	15.1	1.63	17.4	17.4	0.05
Sasha Vujacic	29	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-2	-1	15.8	15.4	0.48	14.9	18.6	-3.67
Devin Green	7	6	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	0	-5	17.3	15.4	1.93	11.3	17.8	-6.47
Chris Mihm	38	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.35	1	-6	7	17.2	14.2	3.04	18.6	16.1	2.50
Smush Parker	59	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-2	-1	14.9	16.9	-1.95	18.1	15.5	2.63
Kobe Bryant	74	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.39	-3	-2	-1	15.7	14.2	1.47	17.7	15.6	2.13
Lamar Odom	74	78	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.42	-4	-1	-3	15.3	16.7	-1.44	17.3	17.6	-0.30
Luke Walton	50	50	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.39	-10	5	-15	14.4	17.0	-2.61	16.5	18.5	-1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.4,0.46,0.16,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 74, POR 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.21,0.15,0.04,0	92.2%
MIN 112, LAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.87,0.79,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.53,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.21,0.03,0.04,0	92.2%
BOS 96, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.87,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.71,0.4,0.26,0.37,0.09,0.05,0	92.0%