NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	85		Excitement	7.1 [398]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): +12.0%
New Jersey Nets	78		Comeback	19.1 [47]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): -31.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.06	0.01	7	78%	0.21	1	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Juwan Howard	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.07	0.01	16	56%	0.11	2	-0.06	9	78%	0.03
Tracy Murray	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	-0.00	0.05	0.00	6	42%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerard King	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Smith	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	2	67%	0.03	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Rod Strickland	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.00	7	40%	-0.05	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Ike Austin	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	12	38%	-0.03	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Chris Whitney	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.14,-0.18,-0.22	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	5	21%	-0.18	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.07

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Cage	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.05	-0.00	9	68%	0.13	6	-0.13	4	25%	-0.08
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	-0.02	20	50%	0.02	1	-0.07	8	100%	0.04
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	0.00	11	36%	-0.10	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.16	-0.19	-0.04	18	25%	-0.27	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.25,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.13	-0.20	-0.01	12	52%	-0.04	7	-0.27	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.7	27.3	14.8	22.0	2.5	40.5	133.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +46.1%

WAS +7.5%

NJN -19.5%

WAS +17.3%

NJN -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NJN	NBA	WAS	NJN	NBA
this game	14.7	15.3	15.2	88.5	81.2	101.7
season	15.5	15.5		101.1	102.1
opponent	14.7	14.8		103.3	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.2	15.3	16.0	14.3	14.7
NJN	14.5	14.7	15.3	17.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	38	39	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.27	20	-13	33	15.0	14.5	0.51	16.3	14.7	1.55
Richard Hamilton	40	40	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.30	18	-11	29	14.5	14.8	-0.29	15.7	15.1	0.59
Chris Whitney	42	45	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.20	13	-6	19	14.5	14.8	-0.34	15.9	14.8	1.05
Tracy Murray	32	31	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.35	6	1	5	15.2	14.4	0.78	16.7	14.7	1.99
Juwan Howard	76	77	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	0	7	14.7	14.5	0.15	15.0	16.6	-1.55
Michael Smith	53	53	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.19	13	-6	19	14.9	14.4	0.45	15.2	15.6	-0.41
Reggie Jordan	8	7	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.27	-5	12	-17	17.9	14.4	3.50	16.4	15.2	1.18
Jahidi White	6	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	11	-15	18.2	14.4	3.73	16.0	15.3	0.70
Gerard King	9	8	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.04	-7	14	-21	12.8	14.9	-2.08	16.1	15.3	0.86
Rod Strickland	52	52	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.07	-5	12	-17	14.6	14.8	-0.20	14.6	16.2	-1.69
Mitch Richmond	60	58	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.00	-10	17	-27	14.2	15.4	-1.16	14.8	16.2	-1.36
Ike Austin	64	65	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	-0.04	-11	18	-29	14.3	15.5	-1.20	14.9	16.3	-1.37

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	14	14	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.01	3	-10	13	18.0	14.9	3.12	14.1	14.8	-0.61
Gheorghe Muresan	19	20	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-10	13	16.3	15.1	1.22	14.7	14.7	0.04
Jim McIlvaine	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.04	-2	-5	3	14.3	15.5	-1.20	10.8	15.2	-4.35
Michael Cage	17	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.12	-6	-1	-5	16.2	15.1	1.10	15.9	14.5	1.48
Sherman Douglas	39	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-6	5	15.6	15.2	0.43	14.0	15.1	-1.10
Keith Van Horn	75	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.38	-3	-4	1	15.2	15.9	-0.67	14.5	15.5	-1.01
Kerry Kittles	69	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.26	-7	0	-7	15.1	16.0	-0.93	14.8	14.3	0.46
Stephon Marbury	82	81	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.28	-7	0	-7	14.8	18.3	-3.46	14.7	14.3	0.40
Jamie Feick	70	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.36	-6	-1	-5	15.2	15.8	-0.60	15.2	13.2	2.07
Johnny Newman	84	84	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.31	-9	2	-11	15.5	14.3	1.14	14.9	13.1	1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.47,0.46,0.15,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 98, OKC 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.53,0.28,0.24,0.17,0	93.2%
PHX 79, SAS 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.73,0.83,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.76,0.66,0.55,0.45,0.23,0.09,0	92.7%
LAC 74, POR 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.21,0.15,0.04,0	92.3%