NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	98		Excitement	5.1 [832]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (TOR): +19.4%
Toronto Raptors	108		Comeback	1.2 [696]		LVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): -10.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	17	60%	0.10	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.03
Darren Collison	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	11	52%	0.05	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Dahntay Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	71%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	15	53%	0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	1	50%	-0.01	1	0.01	2	0%	-0.04
Josh McRoberts	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	4	78%	0.06	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Brandon Rush	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Paul George	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	10	48%	-0.00	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	36%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.02	-0.06	21	63%	0.23	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	6	80%	0.13	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
James Johnson	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.02	6	93%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	13	53%	0.06	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.05	10	57%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.15	0.01	-0.04	13	24%	-0.09	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	36.0	14.8	30.3	2.5	30.5	141.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +32.7%

IND -7.1%

TOR +22.2%

IND -6.1%

TOR +8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	TOR	NBA	IND	TOR	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	15.5	106.5	117.4	105.7
season	14.7	15.1		103.1	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.4		111.2	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.6	16.7	14.6	16.1	15.5
TOR	13.7	14.6	17.5	18.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Rush	34	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-5	0	14.8	15.9	-1.11	14.6	16.6	-1.95
Roy Hibbert	38	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-9	8	15.1	15.7	-0.66	17.8	14.4	3.49
Dahntay Jones	22	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.06	-9	-1	-8	17.1	15.0	2.13	17.6	15.3	2.36
A.J. Price	28	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	-2	-6	16.5	15.0	1.54	16.3	15.6	0.64
Jeff Foster	26	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	1	-12	17.2	14.8	2.35	15.4	16.0	-0.65
Josh McRoberts	48	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-8	6	15.4	15.5	-0.15	14.0	17.8	-3.80
Darren Collison	64	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-8	6	15.0	16.5	-1.54	15.6	16.3	-0.64
Danny Granger	70	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-9	8	15.0	17.1	-2.13	15.3	17.6	-2.36
Paul George	59	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-3	-4	15.6	15.2	0.45	16.4	14.8	1.65
Tyler Hansbrough	71	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-6	2	15.3	16.0	-0.69	16.2	14.5	1.70

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	49	47	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	-1	12	16.0	15.6	0.44	16.2	14.7	1.48
Andrea Bargnani	63	62	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.04	15	-5	20	15.1	17.4	-2.35	15.0	16.4	-1.38
Reggie Evans	48	48	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	6	-2	16.2	15.5	0.69	16.2	14.7	1.55
Jerryd Bayless	32	32	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.08	8	2	6	16.0	15.8	0.20	17.7	14.3	3.36
DeMar DeRozan	58	60	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	6	-2	15.6	16.2	-0.54	15.0	16.3	-1.30
Ed Davis	62	64	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	10	-10	17.0	13.4	3.62	15.8	14.6	1.19
Jose Calderon	60	60	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.12	2	8	-6	15.8	16.0	-0.20	14.3	17.7	-3.36
James Johnson	50	52	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	6	-2	15.2	16.6	-1.40	14.6	16.6	-2.05
Sonny Weems	29	28	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	7	-4	16.6	15.5	1.04	16.0	15.2	0.82
Joey Dorsey	9	7	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	11	-12	12.6	16.2	-3.64	14.4	15.6	-1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.76,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.96,0.9,0.98,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 85, LAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.6%
NOK 96, PHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1	95.5%
DEN 89, NOP 105	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.72,0.82,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,1,1,1	95.5%