NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	85		Excitement	4.8 [869]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): +5.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	97		Comeback	1.1 [1289]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): -12.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmer Fredette	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.04	10	59%	0.02	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Jason Thompson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	9	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Isaiah Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.03	-0.06	13	43%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	0.00	6	46%	0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	12	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.04
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	9	45%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	53%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	16	57%	0.09	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.00	0.07	13	75%	0.14	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	7	31%	-0.05	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.15	-0.00	-0.03	6	43%	-0.03	7	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	12	19%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	31.8	15.7	24.4	1.8	35.3	135.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +16.7%

LAC +4.7%

LAC +34.6%

SAC -5.7%

SAC -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	14.8	16.0	15.4	91.4	103.2	104.1
season	15.0	15.6		104.7	109.0
opponent	15.7	15.2		102.8	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.0	15.9	14.2	13.9	14.8
LAC	13.2	14.8	19.1	17.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	5	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-11	10	16.6	14.7	1.94	9.6	16.4	-6.79
Jason Thompson	50	52	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.22	6	-18	24	13.8	15.9	-2.04	17.4	14.3	3.11
Thomas Robinson	37	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-9	6	14.1	15.2	-1.13	15.3	16.5	-1.17
Marcus Thornton	48	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-8	4	14.9	14.6	0.36	16.3	15.8	0.53
Aaron Brooks	40	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-5	-2	15.3	14.4	0.90	15.6	16.4	-0.75
James Johnson	45	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.10	-5	-7	2	14.8	14.7	0.11	15.8	16.2	-0.36
DeMarcus Cousins	38	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-3	-6	15.4	14.3	1.11	15.2	16.6	-1.42
Isaiah Thomas	53	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-7	2	14.4	15.3	-0.90	16.4	15.6	0.75
Jimmer Fredette	45	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-4	-4	14.6	14.9	-0.36	15.8	16.3	-0.53
Charles Hayes	48	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	0	-12	15.4	14.1	1.26	16.0	16.0	0.02
John Salmons	56	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.04	-12	0	-12	14.9	14.6	0.28	16.5	15.3	1.16

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	68	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	-1	14	16.9	13.8	3.02	14.2	16.3	-2.09
Chris Paul	70	69	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	0	12	17.0	13.2	3.79	14.2	16.4	-2.17
Matt Barnes	58	56	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	4	4	16.0	16.1	-0.17	14.6	15.0	-0.39
Jamal Crawford	43	42	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	5	2	14.7	17.2	-2.54	16.2	13.5	2.69
Lamar Odom	53	53	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	4	4	15.4	16.9	-1.46	15.0	14.4	0.64
Caron Butler	42	44	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	6	0	16.2	15.9	0.29	14.9	14.6	0.32
Eric Bledsoe	39	38	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	8	-4	15.0	16.8	-1.76	14.7	14.8	-0.13
DeAndre Jordan	41	40	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	8	-4	16.9	15.4	1.46	14.4	15.0	-0.64
Ronny Turiaf	26	26	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	13	-14	13.8	16.9	-3.02	16.3	14.2	2.09
Willie Green	30	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	13	-14	17.0	15.6	1.42	14.1	15.1	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 102, MEM 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.95,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,1,1	95.9%
IND 98, TOR 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.76,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.96,0.9,0.98,1,0.99,1	95.6%
NYK 83, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%