NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	102		Excitement	5.0 [821]		MVP	Stromile Swift (MEM): +10.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	110		Comeback	1.3 [1011]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -12.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Doug Overton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.01	0.05	7	76%	0.02	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.03
Chris Kaman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	57%	0.01	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Marko Jaric	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	10	48%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	48%	-0.05	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Eddie House	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	19	44%	-0.04	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Elton Brand	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	21	46%	-0.08	2	-0.05	10	80%	-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	5	100%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	11	59%	0.04	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	8	73%	0.05	2	-0.05	14	71%	-0.02
Dahntay Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	12	52%	0.04	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	0.05	12	58%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	11	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	4	10%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.8	30.2	15.5	26.5	2.7	35.2	138.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +48.0%

LAC -13.7%

LAC -5.4%

MEM +20.3%

MEM +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MEM	NBA	LAC	MEM	NBA
this game	17.1	13.6	15.7	109.7	115.8	100.5
season	15.5	15.3		101.3	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.4		100.5	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	18.8	16.0	18.9	14.9	17.1
MEM	10.8	14.0	15.4	14.5	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Predrag Drobnjak	8	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-5	2	21.0	16.7	4.29	14.4	13.5	0.89
Doug Overton	12	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-4	0	20.7	16.5	4.22	12.1	13.8	-1.74
Matt Barnes	58	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-9	10	17.1	17.1	-0.06	13.9	13.1	0.86
Chris Wilcox	36	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-9	10	17.2	17.0	0.29	14.0	13.4	0.62
Keyon Dooling	43	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-3	-2	16.6	17.5	-0.96	14.5	12.7	1.79
Eddie House	81	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-4	0	16.5	20.7	-4.22	13.8	12.1	1.74
Chris Kaman	74	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	1	-10	16.5	19.2	-2.62	13.6	13.7	-0.11
Elton Brand	75	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	0	-8	17.3	16.2	1.06	13.2	15.3	-2.07
Marko Jaric	78	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	1	-10	17.2	16.4	0.81	12.9	16.2	-3.26

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	50	48	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.05	20	-12	32	11.6	15.8	-4.26	17.4	16.7	0.71
Bonzi Wells	46	44	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	-2	12	14.2	13.1	1.11	17.5	16.7	0.72
Stromile Swift	29	28	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	-4	16	11.6	14.5	-2.95	18.0	16.7	1.32
Pau Gasol	65	64	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	4	0	13.2	14.4	-1.12	16.7	17.9	-1.14
Jason Williams	65	64	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	4	0	13.2	14.4	-1.12	16.7	17.9	-1.14
Bo Outlaw	30	29	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	4	0	14.4	13.2	1.12	17.9	16.7	1.14
Earl Watson	30	29	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	4	0	14.4	13.2	1.12	17.9	16.7	1.14
Mike Miller	48	48	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.20	-1	9	-10	13.3	13.9	-0.58	16.9	17.2	-0.28
Lorenzen Wright	66	65	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.28	-4	12	-16	14.5	11.6	2.95	16.7	18.0	-1.32
Dahntay Jones	1	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	9	-10	1.0	13.7	-12.73	7.0	17.2	-10.18
James Posey	45	45	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.22	-12	20	-32	15.8	11.6	4.26	16.7	17.4	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.95,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 85, LAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.9%
ORL 94, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.84,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.7%
BOS 102, CLE 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	95.6%