inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 94 Excitement4.1 [1021] MVPRafer Alston (TOR): +11.0%
Toronto Raptors 105 Comeback1.5 [967] LVPGrant Hill (ORL): -13.1%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Battie0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.100.010.025100%0.0900.0000%0.00
Stacey Augmon0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Kelvin Cato0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01579%0.061-0.02475%0.00
Jameer Nelson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.000.01580%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Mario Kasun-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Pat Garrity-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.00939%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00433%-0.0500.00425%-0.04
Dwight Howard-0.050,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.00-0.00450%-0.012-0.04250%-0.01
Cuttino Mobley-0.050,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.010.011046%-0.041-0.01475%-0.00
Steve Francis-0.080,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.01-0.031447%-0.023-0.061292%0.03
Grant Hill-0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.020.031439%-0.101-0.03560%-0.02

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rafer Alston0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.030.01-0.081060%0.132-0.0200%0.00
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.06-0.00-0.011460%0.0700.00771%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.010.001956%0.0600.007100%0.03
Jalen Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01-0.02961%0.082-0.0400%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.00-0.03955%0.062-0.04250%-0.00
Rafael Araujo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Milt Palacio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.02-0.00267%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Lamond Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04470%0.0000.002100%0.01
Loren Woods0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.010.01470%0.031-0.03250%-0.01
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.07-0.00-0.05819%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.0250%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.82.326.515.825.22.328.7127.5
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +31.6%
TOR +2.8%
TOR +6.7%
TOR +6.0%
TOR +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLTORNBAORLTORNBA
this game14.417.415.5105.6114.1104.0
season14.315.1102.9104.8
opponent15.415.5106.8105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.714.216.012.714.4
TOR16.016.416.021.617.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stacey Augmon2828-0.10-0.400.31-0.162-131512.915.1-2.1916.917.6-0.75
Kelvin Cato3538-0.10-0.400.29-0.04-2-9716.213.22.9316.418.1-1.68
Pat Garrity3737-0.18-0.320.14-0.180-111113.914.8-0.9016.617.9-1.36
Dwight Howard4246-0.20-0.300.11-0.08-4-7315.213.71.5118.716.02.67
Mario Kasun1918-0.20-0.300.090.09-10-1-913.614.6-1.0415.917.7-1.85
Jameer Nelson2927-0.24-0.260.020.05-10-1-913.414.9-1.5015.618.1-2.48
Steve Francis6468-0.24-0.260.02-0.271-121314.913.11.8318.215.03.22
Grant Hill6064-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.16-4-7314.613.90.6917.616.80.85
Cuttino Mobley5458-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.05-9-2-715.412.92.4416.419.1-2.66
Tony Battie4545-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.14-6-5-113.015.8-2.7318.116.71.43
Hedo Turkoglu3231-0.33-0.17-0.170.05-132-1513.614.9-1.3018.816.62.20

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Morris Peterson68650.55-0.050.60-0.0320-92917.417.30.0614.913.11.79
Chris Bosh70680.500.000.490.0615-41917.517.00.4414.813.11.64
Loren Woods36350.460.040.42-0.2123-123516.118.2-2.1814.714.20.48
Rafer Alston49460.360.140.210.0012-11318.116.51.6314.913.91.03
Eric Williams41380.300.200.10-0.0813-21516.118.4-2.2316.313.03.26
Milt Palacio43430.140.36-0.210.17-112-1316.518.1-1.6313.914.9-1.03
Donyell Marshall34330.140.36-0.230.14011-1116.018.2-2.1413.415.0-1.59
Jalen Rose39400.090.41-0.320.21-415-1916.418.1-1.6413.215.3-2.12
Lamond Murray36350.060.44-0.380.26-718-2519.815.83.9412.815.4-2.63
Matt Bonner33320.030.47-0.440.24-718-2519.916.03.9013.015.2-2.18
Rafael Araujo1110-0.120.62-0.740.14-920-2917.717.30.3918.513.94.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.84,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 102, CLE 1110.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,195.8%
LAC 102, MEM 1100.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.95,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,1,195.7%
CLE 78, IND 1000.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%