NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	90		Excitement	7.6 [315]		MVP	Andrew Bynum (LAL): +14.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder	87		Comeback	3.6 [373]		LVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): -23.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bynum	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	7	73%	0.14	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Steve Blake	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.00	3	83%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.05	0.01	13	56%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Shannon Brown	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	64%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Luke Walton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	7	56%	0.05	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.05
Derek Fisher	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	10	50%	0.02	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.33,-0.23	-0.13	-0.11	-0.00	22	39%	-0.08	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	6	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	75%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.06	-0.00	11	58%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.03,-0.03,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.11	0.01	16	58%	0.15	7	-0.32	6	83%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,0,0.06,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23	-0.23	-0.09	-0.15	-0.01	20	46%	-0.06	5	-0.17	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.3	28.5	18.7	24.1	2.8	37.7	143.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +28.4%

OKC -3.9%

LAL +1.0%

LAL +25.9%

OKC -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	OKC	NBA	LAL	OKC	NBA
this game	17.1	15.1	15.5	101.1	96.7	105.7
season	15.9	15.0		108.8	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.5		105.4	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.0	18.1	15.7	17.5	17.1
OKC	13.2	14.6	17.8	15.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	60	60	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	0	3	17.2	16.8	0.37	15.0	15.2	-0.18
Kobe Bryant	70	71	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	2	-1	17.1	17.0	0.10	14.6	17.0	-2.39
Andrew Bynum	56	59	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.07	16	-13	29	17.0	17.2	-0.16	16.1	13.2	2.97
Derek Fisher	58	59	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.33	0	3	-3	17.0	17.2	-0.18	14.4	16.5	-2.14
Metta World Peace	70	69	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.38	-2	5	-7	16.7	18.5	-1.77	14.7	16.5	-1.78
Shannon Brown	28	30	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	-2	7	17.2	17.0	0.20	16.3	14.5	1.83
Steve Blake	31	31	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	0	3	17.2	17.0	0.18	16.5	14.4	2.14
Pau Gasol	62	61	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.45	-13	16	-29	17.0	17.2	-0.21	14.2	17.1	-2.89
Luke Walton	10	10	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	1	1	19.2	16.8	2.39	17.9	14.8	3.14

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Maynor	25	24	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.05	1	-4	5	17.8	14.1	3.78	17.1	17.1	0.06
Cole Aldrich	17	16	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-4	5	16.4	14.8	1.60	19.1	16.6	2.49
Serge Ibaka	70	68	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.21	1	-4	5	15.0	15.4	-0.37	16.9	17.5	-0.58
Thabo Sefolosha	50	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.25	2	-5	7	13.9	16.6	-2.63	16.3	18.1	-1.82
Nick Collison	61	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.19	-4	1	-5	14.5	16.4	-1.97	17.2	16.9	0.27
Daequan Cook	34	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.15	-6	3	-9	16.5	14.2	2.28	17.0	17.1	-0.08
Kevin Durant	79	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.45	-1	-2	1	14.9	16.5	-1.53	16.9	18.5	-1.57
James Harden	49	50	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.40	-5	2	-7	16.1	14.0	2.13	17.6	16.4	1.28
Russell Westbrook	65	65	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.46	-4	1	-5	14.1	17.8	-3.78	17.1	17.1	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.14,0.21,0.31,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 97, MIN 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.62,0.52,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.46,0.4,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.27,0	91.8%
DET 95, WAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.37,0.17,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.32,0.42,0	91.6%
ORL 106, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.14,0.28,0	91.6%