inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 89 Excitement7.5 [330] MVPLuol Deng (CHI): +52.1%
Chicago Bulls 93 Comeback4.3 [203] LVPChris Bosh (MIA): -31.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.290,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.290.120.200.022160%0.362-0.06683%0.06
Mario Chalmers0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.020.01686%0.191-0.092100%0.01
Dwyane Wade0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.090.050.03-0.012555%0.163-0.071283%0.03
Joel Anthony-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Eddie House-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.02425%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
James Jones-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Erick Dampier-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.00-0.030.022100%0.043-0.091100%0.00
Chris Bosh-0.310,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.31,-0.31-0.22-0.12-0.031817%-0.291-0.02683%0.03

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luol Deng0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.520.520.060.43-0.041269%0.634-0.115100%0.04
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.050.01744%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.00667%0.082-0.0600%0.00
Omer Asik00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.02-0.01828%-0.0300.00250%-0.02
CJ Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01325%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Carlos Boozer0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.04-0.040.021262%0.043-0.082100%0.01
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.010.00420%-0.0600.002100%0.01
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.040.01650%-0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Derrick Rose0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.18,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.04-0.002446%0.024-0.12887%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.23.031.318.730.02.843.2157.2
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +50.5%
MIA -25.2%
CHI +18.3%
CHI +1.2%
CHI +5.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACHINBAMIACHINBA
this game14.915.515.594.797.9105.7
season16.015.7109.0106.5
opponent15.915.699.2102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA13.416.316.713.514.9
CHI16.015.015.215.815.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Jones2625-0.11-0.390.290.07-62-816.014.61.4014.016.1-2.07
Erick Dampier5555-0.21-0.290.08-0.241-5614.315.9-1.5816.813.73.11
Joel Anthony3634-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.08-62-816.314.12.2514.516.1-1.64
LeBron James8082-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.363-71014.418.1-3.7616.012.53.46
Chris Bosh8283-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.382-6815.014.80.1315.813.81.94
Mario Chalmers7780-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.380-4414.716.0-1.2915.714.31.42
Eddie House3031-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.16-106-1616.014.51.5513.316.6-3.37
Dwyane Wade8485-0.500.00-0.50-0.38-40-414.816.0-1.1815.516.0-0.53

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Omer Asik40400.65-0.150.800.1517-133014.216.5-2.2916.314.02.31
Luol Deng80800.65-0.150.790.3012-82015.416.3-0.8815.313.12.12
Ronnie Brewer45410.420.080.330.246-2814.116.8-2.6915.314.60.70
CJ Watson24230.290.210.080.145-1613.416.2-2.8216.114.61.57
Taj Gibson32310.270.230.050.106-2814.116.2-2.1115.814.51.28
Derrick Rose74720.270.230.040.33-26-815.914.21.6514.416.6-2.15
Carlos Boozer61620.140.36-0.230.22-37-1016.713.43.2914.715.5-0.84
Keith Bogans33340.010.49-0.480.07-26-816.015.30.7715.114.80.31
Kyle Korver3233-0.070.57-0.640.16-812-2017.314.62.7413.515.7-2.25
Joakim Noah5454-0.120.62-0.740.20-1115-2616.414.32.1314.016.3-2.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.41,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.81,0.91,0.83,0.71,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.77,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 85, NJN 900.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.59,0.4,0.55,0.63,0.85,0.85,190.9%
UTA 86, WAS 880.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.52,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.74,0.65,0.54,0.47,0.64,0.68,0.96,189.4%
BOS 88, ATL 930.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.7,0.59,0.4,0.62,0.45,0.78,0.74,189.3%