NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	86		Excitement	8.3 [171]		MVP	Ledell Eackles (WAS): +8.9%
Washington Wizards	88		Comeback	5.0 [238]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -45.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	75%	0.13	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00
Bryon Russell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	9	38%	-0.06	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
John Stockton	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	5	64%	-0.02	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.06	-0.11	0.01	8	48%	-0.12	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Howard Eisley	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.10	-0.12	0.00	4	50%	-0.06	4	-0.16	6	83%	0.01
Karl Malone	-0.41	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2,-0.34,-0.41	-0.17	-0.27	-0.03	26	42%	-0.24	4	-0.17	10	40%	-0.08

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ledell Eackles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	6	57%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	11	48%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	12	42%	0.04	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.03	0.01	19	44%	-0.02	2	-0.06	10	70%	0.02
Terry Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	1	62%	0.00	2	-0.13	6	83%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	17	31%	-0.16	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.3,-0.3,-0.37,-0.32,-0.45	-0.45	-0.28	-0.19	-0.02	16	32%	-0.27	7	-0.19	8	62%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	27.5	14.7	27.2	2.3	37.4	136.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -2.3%

WAS +20.3%

WAS +23.3%

WAS +21.1%

UTA -12.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	WAS	NBA	UTA	WAS	NBA
this game	14.3	15.9	15.6	89.6	92.6	102.5
season	15.9	15.1		108.1	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.9		102.2	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.7	12.7	15.8	13.1	14.3
WAS	15.7	18.1	13.5	16.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	33	34	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.16	6	-8	14	14.9	14.0	0.86	14.4	16.7	-2.34
Greg Foster	42	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	2	-6	14.9	13.8	1.10	16.7	15.2	1.50
Greg Ostertag	10	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-1	0	15.2	14.2	0.99	13.8	16.1	-2.30
Shandon Anderson	39	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-3	4	13.3	15.0	-1.78	18.1	14.3	3.82
Antoine Carr	26	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	2	-6	13.5	14.6	-1.06	17.6	15.2	2.43
Adam Keefe	65	64	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.44	8	-10	18	15.0	12.8	2.18	16.3	14.9	1.36
Karl Malone	81	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.45	5	-7	12	14.7	12.1	2.58	14.9	21.4	-6.54
Jeff Hornacek	58	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.27	-3	1	-4	14.8	13.6	1.17	14.3	18.1	-3.82
Howard Eisley	63	61	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.28	-8	6	-14	14.0	14.9	-0.86	16.7	14.4	2.34
Bryon Russell	63	62	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.37	-10	8	-18	13.1	16.7	-3.63	15.7	16.1	-0.37

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy Murray	51	51	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.36	11	-9	20	15.2	16.6	-1.38	13.7	15.0	-1.29
Juwan Howard	89	90	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.39	6	-4	10	15.9	14.8	1.09	14.6	10.0	4.60
Rod Strickland	82	84	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.42	-1	3	-4	15.3	19.4	-4.09	14.1	15.7	-1.55
Darvin Ham	18	19	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.17	3	-1	4	15.4	15.9	-0.50	12.1	14.9	-2.75
Ledell Eackles	27	28	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.01	8	-6	14	15.8	15.9	-0.10	13.5	14.6	-1.10
Terry Davis	72	71	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.30	-2	4	-6	15.3	17.6	-2.26	14.9	12.6	2.26
Chris Whitney	13	14	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	-3	8	19.4	15.3	4.09	13.4	14.5	-1.03
Chris Webber	67	67	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.46	-14	16	-30	16.6	14.0	2.68	14.6	13.7	0.84
Lorenzo Williams	3	3	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	2	-2	19.0	15.7	3.25	13.0	14.4	-1.35
Calbert Cheaney	53	53	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	8	-14	16.1	15.5	0.55	15.1	13.3	1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.52,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.74,0.65,0.54,0.47,0.64,0.68,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 125, MIL 129	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.36,0.38,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.47,0.63,0.67,0.91,1	91.8%
PHX 116, NOP 125	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.77,1,1	91.5%
NJN 87, DAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.81,0.74,0.9,0.87,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.98,1	91.3%