NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	85		Excitement	7.6 [170]		MVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): +12.5%
New Jersey Nets	90		Comeback	7.8 [42]		LVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): -37.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	58%	0.01	1	-0.01	10	60%	-0.02
Chris Crawford	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Roshown McLeod	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Tyrone Corbin	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	6	43%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Ed Gray	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.11	0.00	3	60%	-0.03	1	-0.10	4	100%	0.04
Mookie Blaylock	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.05	-0.15	-0.00	13	50%	-0.10	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Grant Long	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.21	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	12	33%	-0.21	0	0.00	6	100%	0.06

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.00	0.12	-0.00	12	50%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.07	-0.01	24	54%	0.19	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	17	67%	0.21	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	58%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
William Cunningham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	11	46%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.31,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37	-0.37	-0.18	-0.19	0.00	15	13%	-0.33	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.3	25.6	15.7	23.2	1.7	41.2	130.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +72.0%

ATL -33.8%

NJN +23.6%

ATL -11.3%

ATL -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NJN	NBA	ATL	NJN	NBA
this game	16.8	14.9	15.8	93.4	98.9	99.6
season	16.7	15.0		97.2	96.5
opponent	15.6	16.3		100.6	94.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.5	16.5	18.6	16.6	16.8
NJN	17.3	13.5	13.5	15.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	28	28	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.08	11	-16	27	16.4	17.0	-0.56	16.7	14.0	2.72
Roshown McLeod	10	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-2	-1	16.8	16.8	0.02	15.6	14.8	0.82
Mark West	12	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-2	-1	18.3	16.5	1.79	14.2	15.0	-0.71
Mookie Blaylock	73	71	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.34	7	-12	19	16.6	17.4	-0.83	15.8	11.4	4.45
Alan Henderson	52	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-1	-3	16.9	16.7	0.20	14.6	15.2	-0.54
Dikembe Mutombo	75	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.29	2	-7	9	17.1	15.5	1.55	15.5	12.0	3.53
Ed Gray	19	18	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-5	5	14.6	17.4	-2.78	15.5	14.7	0.79
Chris Crawford	56	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	2	-9	17.3	15.9	1.41	14.6	15.3	-0.73
Grant Long	46	46	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	-3	1	16.0	17.6	-1.67	14.3	15.5	-1.23
Tyrone Corbin	46	46	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	11	-27	17.3	16.2	1.10	12.9	16.8	-3.91
Anthony Johnson	38	39	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.31	-10	5	-15	16.9	16.7	0.15	13.9	15.6	-1.70

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	69	70	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.40	10	-5	15	15.4	13.0	2.40	17.5	14.5	3.00
Stephon Marbury	77	77	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.43	4	1	3	15.3	12.3	3.05	16.9	16.2	0.67
Keith Van Horn	81	80	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	4	-3	14.8	15.5	-0.71	16.6	18.1	-1.49
Jamie Feick	27	27	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	-3	11	12.7	15.8	-3.08	15.3	17.4	-2.11
Chris Carr	30	29	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.19	0	5	-5	13.7	15.5	-1.79	14.6	17.8	-3.22
Kerry Kittles	76	76	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	0	5	14.9	14.9	0.00	17.3	14.2	3.09
Jayson Williams	70	72	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.18	-1	6	-7	16.0	11.0	4.97	17.3	14.6	2.72
Elliot Perry	16	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	5	-5	13.7	15.1	-1.43	16.5	16.8	-0.34
William Cunningham	9	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	7	-9	10.8	15.3	-4.54	15.1	16.9	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.59,0.4,0.55,0.63,0.85,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 98, SEA 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.3,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.37,0.32,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.84,0.74,0.53,0.4,0.53,0.79,0.85,0.99,1	92.2%
DEN 86, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.68,0.95,1	91.4%
DET 85, CHH 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.24,0.16,0.22,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.83,0.84,1	91.0%