NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	97		Excitement	1.8 [1297]		MVP	LeBron James (MIA): +8.4%
Miami Heat	117		Comeback	1.0 [1294]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -11.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Thompson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	72%	0.05	3	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01
Luther Head	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.11	0.00	0.12	12	69%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Pooh Jeter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.09	5	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Donte Greene	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	10	45%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jermaine Taylor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.04	11	54%	-0.03	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	7	56%	-0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	0.00	-0.04	14	25%	-0.10	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.02	26	56%	0.10	3	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	14	65%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	6	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	0.00	0.06	7	87%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.04	20	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	11	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.7	27.9	16.5	24.6	2.0	25.2	120.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +44.0%

MIA +1.4%

MIA +3.4%

SAC -0.8%

MIA +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIA	NBA	SAC	MIA	NBA
this game	14.5	15.9	15.5	103.2	123.2	105.7
season	14.9	16.0		102.1	109.0
opponent	15.6	14.9		102.3	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.2	15.5	13.7	13.8	14.5
MIA	13.6	15.8	16.3	18.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luther Head	35	37	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-28	36	12.9	15.5	-2.53	17.2	15.1	2.14
Darnell Jackson	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-26	32	13.3	14.6	-1.35	20.0	15.6	4.44
Pooh Jeter	38	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	-11	2	15.3	14.0	1.27	18.0	14.6	3.39
Donte Greene	46	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-16	12	14.7	14.4	0.36	18.7	13.4	5.31
DeMarcus Cousins	53	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-10	0	15.5	13.3	2.11	16.3	15.5	0.79
Omri Casspi	53	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.20	-17	-3	-14	14.9	14.0	0.94	13.8	18.6	-4.72
Samuel Dalembert	62	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-10	0	14.3	14.9	-0.61	16.2	15.5	0.65
Beno Udrih	62	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.15	-18	-2	-16	13.8	15.9	-2.08	15.1	17.5	-2.36
Jason Thompson	66	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.38	-26	6	-32	14.1	15.5	-1.38	15.0	18.2	-3.22
Jermaine Taylor	48	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.20	-20	0	-20	15.4	13.7	1.72	14.0	17.9	-3.83

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	71	71	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.27	24	-4	28	15.0	18.7	-3.65	15.5	11.6	3.87
Dwyane Wade	73	72	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.23	22	-2	24	15.1	18.9	-3.81	15.3	12.1	3.19
LeBron James	63	62	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.15	18	2	16	15.1	17.5	-2.36	13.8	15.9	-2.08
Mario Chalmers	59	59	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.17	18	2	16	14.7	17.9	-3.23	13.8	15.7	-1.84
Erick Dampier	52	51	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.21	18	2	16	13.9	18.4	-4.58	14.2	15.0	-0.82
Eddie House	50	50	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	14	-8	18.0	13.6	4.40	14.4	14.6	-0.20
James Jones	48	48	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	16	-12	17.7	14.2	3.50	14.2	14.8	-0.62
Joel Anthony	36	37	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	14	-8	18.0	14.7	3.37	15.3	14.0	1.31
Jamaal Magloire	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	24	-28	20.6	15.6	5.00	12.8	14.6	-1.81
Carlos Arroyo	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	26	-32	20.0	15.6	4.44	13.3	14.6	-1.35
Juwan Howard	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	26	-32	20.0	15.6	4.44	13.3	14.6	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 96, LAL 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
CHA 68, POR 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
BOS 76, CLE 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%