inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 110 Excitement7.0 [419] MVPLeBron James (MIA): +33.1%
Indiana Pacers 103 Comeback1.9 [740] LVPDarren Collison (IND): -15.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.330,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.330.010.18-0.142059%0.3350.00667%0.02
Dwyane Wade0.300,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.190.03-0.082960%0.322-0.031080%-0.01
Chris Bosh0.210,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.210.090.11-0.011659%0.231-0.025100%0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
James Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Erick Dampier-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,00.04-0.020.02569%0.001-0.01333%-0.02
Joel Anthony-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Mike Miller-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.0120%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Eddie House-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.05-0.00731%-0.0800.002100%0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.00520%-0.062-0.0500%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.11-0.000.04782%0.091-0.023100%0.02
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.030.02375%0.0600.002100%0.02
Brandon Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.020.001150%0.0600.0000%0.00
Roy Hibbert0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.01-0.061647%0.082-0.04667%-0.00
Josh McRoberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.01560%0.0400.0000%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.03-0.00642%0.0300.0000%0.00
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.030.01643%0.0200.002100%0.02
Tyler Hansbrough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0-0.000.06-0.030.031162%0.021-0.024100%0.02
Danny Granger0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.03-0.061345%-0.014-0.02560%-0.04
A.J. Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.04-0.060.02757%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Darren Collison0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.15-0.15-0.17-0.05-0.071124%-0.053-0.10771%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.530.516.325.42.536.5139.9
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +44.9%
IND -1.9%
MIA +2.9%
MIA +7.7%
IND -3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAINDNBAMIAINDNBA
this game14.714.215.5110.0104.0105.7
season16.014.7109.0103.1
opponent15.415.6104.5102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA11.317.316.214.714.7
IND13.913.315.814.114.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Bosh82810.61-0.110.730.2911-41514.814.30.5114.214.6-0.45
Dwyane Wade87880.58-0.080.670.1216-92514.416.8-2.4714.214.20.07
LeBron James88860.460.040.430.209-21114.218.6-4.4114.016.2-2.20
Eddie House45430.420.080.350.54-411-1515.913.72.2013.914.5-0.55
Erick Dampier55540.400.100.290.3425-314.515.0-0.5113.115.6-2.45
Mario Chalmers55560.170.33-0.15-0.2715-82313.616.0-2.3614.913.31.58
Zydrunas Ilgauskas25250.100.40-0.30-0.169-21113.315.2-1.8415.014.01.01
James Jones14140.090.41-0.320.0325-314.414.8-0.4015.614.01.55
Joel Anthony20200.000.50-0.500.12-411-1517.014.12.9416.313.72.58
Mike Miller2928-0.350.85-1.200.27-2128-4917.313.63.6813.814.4-0.64

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Rush16160.30-0.801.090.039-162514.914.10.7515.214.60.58
Dahntay Jones24240.08-0.580.67-0.2110-172713.614.4-0.8216.014.31.71
Jeff Foster29290.01-0.510.52-0.228-152313.414.6-1.1216.414.02.46
A.J. Price3032-0.01-0.490.48-0.279-162514.714.00.7017.313.53.80
Josh McRoberts4445-0.05-0.450.410.07-4-3-114.214.3-0.1113.815.4-1.56
Mike Dunleavy1717-0.31-0.19-0.120.10-147-2116.213.82.3413.514.9-1.41
Tyler Hansbrough5555-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.37-3-4114.314.20.1115.413.81.56
Paul George6667-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.43-2-5313.615.5-1.9514.914.30.55
Darren Collison6968-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.02-169-2514.014.7-0.7013.517.3-3.80
Roy Hibbert7071-0.510.01-0.52-0.07-158-2314.613.41.1214.016.4-2.46
Danny Granger7576-0.580.08-0.67-0.08-1710-2714.413.60.8214.316.0-1.71


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.07,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 102, VAN 1010.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.11,0.09,0.16,093.4%
TOR 87, BKN 790.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.47,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.01,090.5%
CHI 100, NJN 870.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.45,0.52,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.3,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.16,0.01,0,090.1%