NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	100		Excitement	6.5 [507]		MVP	Andres Nocioni (CHI): +37.2%
New Jersey Nets	87		Comeback	2.1 [281]		LVP	Bobby Simmons (NJN): -11.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andres Nocioni	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.10	0.26	-0.01	10	68%	0.39	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.06
Ben Gordon	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.17	0.03	0.02	14	77%	0.21	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Derrick Rose	0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.12	0.01	15	66%	0.23	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.04	-0.01	15	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Aaron Gray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.07	2	0%	-0.07
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	9	35%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	19	67%	0.24	2	-0.08	8	87%	0.05
Devin Harris	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.06	-0.04	20	48%	0.15	4	-0.09	14	71%	-0.02
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.01	4	67%	0.13	2	-0.10	1	0%	-0.05
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	47%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	9	22%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	6	25%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	29.9	14.8	27.4	1.0	34.3	133.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +63.9%

NJN -17.2%

NJN -0.3%

CHI +4.4%

NJN -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NJN	NBA	CHI	NJN	NBA
this game	16.2	15.6	15.5	109.9	96.7	106.4
season	14.8	16.0		106.3	106.5
opponent	15.5	15.7		108.9	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.4	19.0	15.8	15.0	16.2
NJN	17.4	15.3	14.9	15.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andres Nocioni	47	47	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.14	25	-12	37	15.2	17.3	-2.15	15.3	15.9	-0.61
Derrick Rose	80	81	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.12	24	-11	35	16.0	17.6	-1.62	15.7	14.7	1.05
Larry Hughes	61	60	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.11	13	0	13	16.7	15.3	1.41	14.7	17.4	-2.73
Ben Gordon	81	80	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.04	18	-5	23	16.3	15.3	1.02	15.5	16.5	-1.00
Joakim Noah	59	57	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.00	14	-1	15	16.7	15.3	1.43	16.7	13.7	3.07
Aaron Gray	32	32	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.16	-1	14	-15	15.3	16.7	-1.43	14.0	16.5	-2.50
Lindsey Hunter	20	19	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.09	-7	20	-27	16.5	16.1	0.44	15.4	15.7	-0.31
Tyrus Thomas	37	37	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.03	-7	20	-27	17.2	15.5	1.65	15.9	15.4	0.48
Thabo Sefolosha	38	37	-0.43	0.93	-1.35	-0.02	-14	27	-41	15.8	16.5	-0.72	17.0	14.7	2.31

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Douglas-Roberts	26	26	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.04	8	-21	29	15.0	15.9	-0.91	17.8	15.6	2.18
Yi Jianlian	30	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.09	-5	-8	3	16.8	15.0	1.73	15.6	16.5	-0.96
Ryan Anderson	19	19	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-7	1	15.7	15.6	0.16	15.3	16.5	-1.20
Josh Boone	37	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-12	11	15.6	15.6	0.02	17.7	15.1	2.64
Brook Lopez	53	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-1	-11	15.6	15.6	-0.02	15.1	17.7	-2.64
Bobby Simmons	74	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-7	1	15.6	15.5	0.14	16.4	15.5	0.89
Vince Carter	76	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-5	-3	15.8	14.7	1.06	16.5	14.2	2.31
Jarvis Hayes	56	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.19	-9	-4	-5	15.1	16.4	-1.24	16.7	15.4	1.27
Devin Harris	79	79	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.05	-26	13	-39	15.5	16.4	-0.86	15.4	21.8	-6.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.45,0.52,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.3,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.16,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 99, DET 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.52,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.25,0.11,0.17,0.09,0	91.3%
PHI 83, DET 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.4,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.63,0.47,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.17,0.05,0.04,0	91.0%
GSW 116, MEM 104	0.5,0.51,0.59,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.22,0.24,0.05,0,0,0	91.0%