inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 99 Excitement7.9 [228] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +30.4%
Detroit Pistons 90 Comeback2.4 [551] LVPJoe Smith (DET): -19.0%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0.300,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.29,0.30.140.180.021769%0.331-0.022100%0.01
Christian Laettner0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.150.070.080.00980%0.182-0.032100%0.00
Steve Nash0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.020.090.011064%0.184-0.12580%0.00
Courtney Alexander0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.03-0.01743%0.0300.0000%0.00
Gary Trent0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.000.00367%0.051-0.0500%0.00
Loy Vaught-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Howard Eisley-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.020.06-0.050.03869%0.031-0.0500%0.00
Shawn Bradley-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.00-0.040.00367%-0.011-0.046100%0.03
Michael Finley-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12-0.14-0.07-0.091735%-0.073-0.053100%0.03
Hubert Davis-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.04-0.0030%-0.072-0.0600%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chucky Atkins0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.070.06-0.051563%0.232-0.0500%0.00
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.001100%0.081-0.056100%0.04
Billy Owens0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.01-0.01443%-0.021-0.02633%-0.07
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0120%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.05-0.012246%-0.021-0.078100%0.04
Mateen Cleaves0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.040.00633%-0.061-0.0300%0.00
Brian Cardinal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.04-0.0010%-0.081-0.0220%-0.07
Dana Barros0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.16,-0.17-0.17-0.09-0.12-0.05744%-0.024-0.142100%0.03
Joe Smith0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.19-0.19-0.11-0.080.012041%-0.161-0.03967%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game241.21.528.415.728.71.734.5351.7
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +64.8%
DET -9.2%
DET -11.5%
DET -1.5%
DAL +7.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALDETNBADALDETNBA
this game16.114.515.5104.296.8100.9
season15.214.3104.697.9
opponent15.415.399.6101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.717.416.416.016.1
DET16.613.114.913.414.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Christian Laettner35320.76-0.261.010.2916-72313.617.6-4.0314.114.7-0.63
Michael Finley81790.67-0.170.830.2315-62116.315.40.8414.315.6-1.29
Howard Eisley63600.61-0.110.720.1715-62115.916.7-0.8615.113.31.81
Dirk Nowitzki73700.400.100.310.2654116.714.32.3815.012.72.30
Steve Nash81790.400.100.300.3136-316.613.43.1914.613.60.98
Courtney Alexander24260.080.42-0.330.0518-714.816.6-1.8113.514.9-1.35
Loy Vaught17160.010.49-0.470.04-110-1115.416.3-0.9712.314.9-2.61
Hubert Davis3637-0.070.57-0.65-0.02-211-1316.416.00.4313.415.2-1.73
Shawn Bradley4647-0.140.64-0.79-0.08-211-1317.215.21.9515.613.42.18
Gary Trent1919-0.220.72-0.94-0.07-514-1916.616.00.6113.714.7-0.93

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Billy Owens20200.31-0.811.12-0.0713-223512.515.0-2.4518.015.72.35
Brian Cardinal1213-0.01-0.490.480.05-2-7513.614.6-1.0212.316.8-4.45
Mikki Moore4139-0.15-0.350.20-0.09-2-7512.815.8-2.9815.116.9-1.82
Mateen Cleaves3233-0.18-0.320.13-0.10-3-6313.015.2-2.2515.016.7-1.71
Michael Curry3435-0.21-0.290.070.05-90-916.313.42.9218.015.12.89
Chucky Atkins6162-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.14-6-3-315.213.02.2516.715.01.71
Joe Smith6063-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.07-101-1115.213.21.9516.315.80.55
Jerry Stackhouse8484-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.34-2-7514.415.6-1.2016.711.94.79
Ben Wallace7578-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.33-4-5115.112.03.0716.614.02.62
Dana Barros4648-0.720.22-0.94-0.13-2011-3114.014.9-0.9414.018.4-4.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.52,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.25,0.11,0.17,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 100, NJN 870.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.45,0.52,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.3,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.16,0.01,0,091.3%
DET 101, PHX 930.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.06,0.01,0.02,0,090.6%
CHI 102, TOR 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.43,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.15,0.23,0.04,090.6%