NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	87		Excitement	6.8 [453]		MVP	Mirza Teletovic (BKN): +14.9%
Brooklyn Nets	79		Comeback	2.4 [343]		LVP	Deron Williams (BKN): -25.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	17	56%	0.12	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.13	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	11	68%	0.11	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Patrick Patterson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	7	56%	0.11	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.07	-0.01	12	35%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Terrence Ross	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	19	49%	0.01	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.03
Charles Hayes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.10	0.01	9	60%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	6	62%	0.13	1	-0.07	4	100%	0.06
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.07,0,0	0.00	0.12	-0.10	0.02	14	73%	0.14	2	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	5	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	6	21%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	7	45%	0.02	5	-0.12	6	50%	-0.05
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	7	39%	-0.03	2	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.13	-0.13	-0.00	12	37%	-0.09	5	-0.16	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.7	32.6	18.5	34.5	3.5	34.4	153.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +31.0%

TOR +0.4%

BKN -12.5%

TOR +24.0%

TOR +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BKN	NBA	TOR	BKN	NBA
this game	16.9	15.8	15.1	98.9	89.8	105.2
season	15.9	15.7		107.2	105.1
opponent	15.5	15.1		106.7	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.5	17.6	16.0	17.7	16.9
BKN	16.3	15.9	14.0	17.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greivis Vasquez	66	65	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.33	10	-2	12	16.0	19.8	-3.82	15.9	15.6	0.34
Kyle Lowry	62	63	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.21	14	-6	20	17.1	16.4	0.69	15.3	17.2	-1.87
Patrick Patterson	61	62	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.39	7	1	6	15.5	20.1	-4.62	15.5	16.5	-0.97
Amir Johnson	53	53	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	-3	14	18.1	15.1	2.93	15.1	16.9	-1.73
DeMar DeRozan	76	77	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	8	-8	18.0	10.2	7.81	15.7	16.7	-1.04
John Salmons	36	35	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	11	-14	15.4	17.9	-2.48	16.7	15.2	1.44
Jonas Valanciunas	38	40	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	8	-8	18.9	15.4	3.54	15.9	15.7	0.24
Charles Hayes	17	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	8	-8	13.9	17.6	-3.75	17.7	15.4	2.31
Terrence Ross	24	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.14	3	5	-2	17.8	16.6	1.27	16.1	15.7	0.42
Steve Novak	7	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	10	-12	16.9	16.9	-0.06	19.2	15.6	3.59

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andray Blatche	24	24	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-12	16	16.9	15.4	1.45	15.0	17.6	-2.63
Kevin Garnett	38	37	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-10	12	16.1	15.6	0.55	18.8	15.5	3.28
Andrei Kirilenko	27	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-5	2	17.0	15.3	1.70	15.6	17.5	-1.92
Shaun Livingston	47	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.13	-9	1	-10	15.5	16.2	-0.75	17.6	16.2	1.38
Mirza Teletovic	31	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	0	-8	17.1	15.1	2.02	14.9	18.0	-3.05
Paul Pierce	57	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.29	0	-8	8	15.1	17.1	-2.02	18.0	14.9	3.05
Deron Williams	66	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-5	2	15.9	15.5	0.36	17.3	15.5	1.82
Alan Anderson	48	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.40	0	-8	8	15.7	15.9	-0.15	15.4	18.6	-3.14
Joe Johnson	76	74	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.36	-9	1	-10	15.6	17.3	-1.75	17.5	13.6	3.97
Mason Plumlee	26	27	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.25	-14	6	-20	14.4	16.4	-2.03	16.0	17.3	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.47,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 108, PHX 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.27,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.22,0.23,0.05,0	90.6%
MIA 110, IND 103	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.07,0.01,0,0	90.5%
GSW 102, VAN 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.11,0.09,0.16,0	90.5%