NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	109		Excitement	5.7 [685]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +25.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	96		Comeback	2.1 [375]		LVP	Metta World Peace (LAL): -9.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.25	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.19	0.06	-0.00	18	74%	0.33	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.03
Ray Allen	0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.06	0.04	12	81%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.09	0.01	10	54%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.06	0.03	12	72%	0.15	2	-0.03	1	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	7	79%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Rajon Rondo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.21	0.03	0.02	29	63%	0.26	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.03
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.01	0.04	8	83%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	3	67%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	52%	0.02	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.06
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	13	43%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	10	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.8	38.0	18.8	28.2	3.4	29.6	150.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +74.0%

LAL -9.0%

BOS +7.8%

LAL -25.0%

BOS +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAL	NBA	BOS	LAL	NBA
this game	16.3	15.9	15.5	122.5	106.7	105.7
season	15.7	15.9		104.8	108.8
opponent	15.5	15.8		103.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.6	16.8	15.8	16.0	16.3
LAL	13.4	15.2	19.2	16.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	51	52	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	0	13	16.8	15.7	1.17	16.0	15.6	0.43
Rajon Rondo	77	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	2	9	15.9	19.1	-3.19	16.2	13.7	2.53
Ray Allen	64	64	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.03	13	0	13	16.9	14.9	2.01	16.2	15.0	1.20
Glen Davis	44	44	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	5	3	16.1	16.6	-0.46	14.8	16.9	-2.12
Kevin Garnett	60	59	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	4	5	16.1	16.7	-0.54	16.6	14.4	2.29
Paul Pierce	75	76	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	8	-3	16.0	18.1	-2.16	15.9	15.6	0.25
Nate Robinson	25	26	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	7	-1	17.2	16.0	1.22	15.7	15.9	-0.23
Marquis Daniels	26	27	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	9	-5	16.3	16.3	0.03	14.0	16.6	-2.60
Shaquille O'Neal	23	25	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	17	-21	16.1	16.4	-0.26	15.5	16.0	-0.46

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	46	46	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.05	9	-22	31	15.2	16.5	-1.26	16.3	16.3	-0.04
Andrew Bynum	53	54	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-11	9	15.8	15.9	-0.06	15.4	17.7	-2.34
Shannon Brown	36	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-10	7	15.0	16.4	-1.43	16.0	16.6	-0.56
Derek Fisher	54	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-2	-9	16.7	14.6	2.07	16.1	16.7	-0.57
Luke Walton	20	19	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	-1	-11	17.1	15.5	1.60	19.1	15.6	3.47
Lamar Odom	52	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-8	3	15.4	16.4	-0.98	17.2	15.2	1.99
Steve Blake	45	44	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	-1	-11	15.2	16.5	-1.36	16.2	16.4	-0.19
Kobe Bryant	71	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.15	-9	-4	-5	16.0	15.5	0.48	16.1	17.1	-0.91
Pau Gasol	73	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	0.02	-20	7	-27	16.3	13.8	2.58	16.3	16.5	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 108, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.08,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0	93.7%
MIN 88, CHA 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.38,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.01,0,0,0	93.4%
SAS 94, LAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0	93.4%