NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	111		Excitement	3.9 [1088]		MVP	Baron Davis (LAC): +11.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	126		Comeback	1.1 [1148]		LVP	Jonny Flynn (MIN): -8.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.00	0.02	14	67%	0.12	3	-0.04	11	91%	0.03
Michael Beasley	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	18	54%	0.08	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	11	70%	0.07	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lazar Hayward	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Martell Webster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	4	64%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.08	6	63%	-0.01	1	-0.02	7	86%	-0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	5	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.06	4	56%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	5	-0.10	2	50%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.01	-0.05	12	69%	0.15	4	-0.04	5	60%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.01	-0.05	21	53%	0.11	3	-0.03	13	62%	-0.02
Ryan Gomes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	10	54%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.01	-0.07	6	71%	0.09	5	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.03	7	71%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	0.00	0.07	14	68%	0.06	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	55%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	7	29%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	3	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	33.3	16.3	33.6	1.0	35.5	147.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +23.0%

LAC +3.9%

LAC +18.2%

LAC +5.8%

MIN -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAC	NBA	MIN	LAC	NBA
this game	12.8	15.2	15.5	107.8	122.3	105.7
season	14.3	15.4		102.7	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.1		107.2	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.1	15.1	10.7	12.7	12.8
LAC	14.0	15.5	14.5	16.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lazar Hayward	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-18	21	8.9	13.3	-4.36	16.9	14.9	1.96
Anthony Tolliver	31	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-18	21	11.9	13.2	-1.25	16.0	14.8	1.14
Wesley Johnson	25	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-18	21	12.0	13.1	-1.06	15.8	15.0	0.80
Jonny Flynn	44	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.18	3	-18	21	11.7	13.6	-1.88	14.2	15.9	-1.74
Kosta Koufos	16	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-11	7	13.3	12.7	0.60	16.2	14.9	1.23
Wayne Ellington	43	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-9	3	13.5	12.3	1.17	15.5	14.9	0.53
Martell Webster	38	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-6	-3	13.7	12.3	1.35	14.9	15.3	-0.46
Corey Brewer	60	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	-6	-9	3	12.2	13.7	-1.53	15.5	14.7	0.83
Kevin Love	68	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-3	-9	13.1	12.2	0.87	15.0	15.4	-0.37
Darko Milicic	52	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-3	-9	13.1	12.5	0.59	14.5	15.7	-1.20
Luke Ridnour	59	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.12	-18	3	-21	13.6	11.7	1.88	15.9	14.2	1.74
Michael Beasley	68	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.13	-20	5	-25	13.1	12.1	1.00	14.3	16.9	-2.62

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Gomes	72	70	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.07	17	-2	19	15.2	15.2	-0.01	13.2	12.0	1.14
Baron Davis	57	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.12	17	-2	19	15.2	15.0	0.20	13.1	12.4	0.71
Eric Gordon	66	66	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.16	18	-3	21	14.8	15.8	-0.94	13.0	12.5	0.54
DeAndre Jordan	65	67	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	3	9	15.0	15.4	-0.38	13.5	11.6	1.88
Blake Griffin	66	68	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	7	1	14.8	15.8	-1.07	13.2	12.0	1.22
Al-Farouq Aminu	43	42	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	10	-5	15.6	14.8	0.81	12.6	12.9	-0.28
Randy Foye	45	46	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	15	-15	15.9	14.6	1.34	12.8	12.8	-0.08
Ike Diogu	39	37	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	14	-13	15.4	15.0	0.37	11.5	13.6	-2.10
Eric Bledsoe	46	46	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	17	-19	15.0	15.2	-0.20	12.4	13.1	-0.71
Jarron Collins	10	10	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	10	-5	12.7	15.4	-2.72	12.6	12.8	-0.23
Willie Warren	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	21	-27	18.2	15.0	3.20	4.5	13.3	-8.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 83, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
SAS 83, SAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
MIN 83, SEA 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%