NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	83		Excitement	3.3 [1089]		MVP	Kevin Ollie (CHI): +6.5%
Indiana Pacers	98		Comeback	1.1 [1224]		LVP	Ron Mercer (CHI): -7.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Ollie	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.03	6	86%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	4	89%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.01	18	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	8	62%	-0.00	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	11	42%	-0.00	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	8	39%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	15	31%	-0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	0.00	0.06	6	94%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	15	61%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.07	18	41%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	15	56%	0.11	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Bruno Sundov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamison Brewer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.05	10	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	4	37%	0.01	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	24.0	15.7	22.2	2.0	27.1	116.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +37.9%

IND +5.0%

IND +15.5%

CHI -10.6%

IND +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	17.1	17.4	15.6	98.8	118.1	102.3
season	15.6	15.3		96.3	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.6		100.9	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	18.3	19.6	15.1	15.7	17.1
IND	15.2	17.2	17.0	20.4	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddy Curry	20	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.05	-2	-13	11	15.5	17.6	-2.13	22.9	15.6	7.28
Kevin Ollie	35	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-16	17	17.3	17.0	0.24	19.3	16.1	3.25
Charles Oakley	42	41	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-7	-1	18.8	15.5	3.33	16.5	18.2	-1.70
Trenton Hassell	46	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-7	-1	15.8	18.7	-2.86	16.9	18.0	-1.16
Fred Hoiberg	51	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-7	-1	17.3	16.8	0.45	19.4	14.4	5.00
Marcus Fizer	63	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-10	5	16.3	19.5	-3.21	17.3	17.7	-0.39
Brad Miller	52	51	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	0.05	-13	-2	-11	18.0	15.7	2.21	15.3	20.7	-5.34
Greg Anthony	49	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	1	-17	17.0	17.3	-0.24	16.1	19.3	-3.25
Ron Mercer	62	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.08	-16	1	-17	17.4	16.2	1.21	16.7	19.2	-2.46

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	59	59	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.05	16	-1	17	15.6	21.7	-6.10	17.5	16.2	1.31
Jamaal Tinsley	70	71	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.01	13	2	11	18.1	13.7	4.36	16.5	20.4	-3.86
Jalen Rose	61	61	0.39	0.12	0.27	0.18	7	8	-1	17.3	17.5	-0.23	17.3	16.6	0.70
Jermaine O'Neal	60	62	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	3	9	15.7	21.7	-5.92	17.8	15.3	2.50
Jeff Foster	39	38	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.05	12	3	9	15.0	19.5	-4.48	17.2	17.0	0.17
Al Harrington	54	56	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	10	-5	18.6	15.1	3.44	17.5	16.4	1.14
Jonathan Bender	39	40	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.09	2	13	-11	19.5	15.5	4.04	16.4	17.8	-1.42
Austin Croshere	22	21	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	14	-13	21.6	15.8	5.80	15.9	17.5	-1.68
Jamison Brewer	9	9	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	11	-7	14.9	17.7	-2.79	18.8	16.9	1.86
Bruno Sundov	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	12	-9	33.0	17.0	16.01	11.7	17.3	-5.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 97, PHI 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
MIN 111, LAC 126	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
NYK 80, LAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%