NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	83		Excitement	3.6 [1056]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +10.7%
Seattle SuperSonics	110		Comeback	1.1 [831]		LVP	Shammond Williams (SEA): -12.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	12	52%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
William Avery	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	43%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	2	14%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Anthony Peeler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	10	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Mitchell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	2	71%	-0.00	5	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	13	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	5	44%	-0.04	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	0.00	0.03	6	54%	-0.04	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	14	53%	-0.00	4	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Malik Sealy	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	8	21%	-0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.00	0.02	20	63%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.01	0.04	10	77%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	6	69%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.00	0.05	13	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lazaro Borrell	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	14	36%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Shammond Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	0.00	0.02	9	40%	-0.05	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	71.2	0.7	30.5	15.7	30.3	2.7	37.0	188.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +43.5%

MIN -3.8%

MIN -0.0%

SEA +9.3%

SEA +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SEA	NBA	MIN	SEA	NBA
this game	15.6	14.5	15.2	87.4	114.6	101.7
season	15.1	14.9		103.5	103.5
opponent	15.4	15.7		102.6	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	18.7	15.0	13.1	16.1	15.6
SEA	13.4	15.7	15.7	13.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Garrett	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-22	17	9.9	16.2	-6.30	12.3	14.7	-2.41
William Avery	20	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.14	-5	-22	17	14.2	16.0	-1.83	14.4	14.5	-0.09
Sam Mitchell	50	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-25	23	14.6	16.8	-2.16	14.9	14.2	0.69
Tom Hammonds	19	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.17	-9	-18	9	11.2	16.8	-5.61	11.7	15.2	-3.51
Rasho Nesterovic	45	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-27	27	16.3	15.0	1.31	14.9	14.1	0.79
Bobby Jackson	33	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-22	17	13.4	16.9	-3.49	14.2	14.7	-0.47
Anthony Peeler	45	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	-16	5	16.1	15.2	0.93	13.9	15.1	-1.21
Malik Sealy	35	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.18	-16	-11	-5	16.5	15.1	1.38	15.5	14.0	1.52
Joe Smith	51	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.13	-15	-12	-3	17.1	14.0	3.10	15.7	13.1	2.68
Terrell Brandon	57	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.15	-17	-10	-7	16.5	14.3	2.25	14.6	14.3	0.30
Wally Szczerbiak	45	46	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.27	-24	-3	-21	16.8	14.6	2.16	14.3	14.7	-0.37
Kevin Garnett	67	68	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.26	-26	-1	-25	16.0	14.7	1.37	14.2	15.2	-0.98

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	69	69	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.30	29	-2	31	14.6	14.3	0.31	16.6	13.2	3.32
Rashard Lewis	61	59	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.33	27	0	27	14.8	14.0	0.82	17.0	13.5	3.49
Lazaro Borrell	56	57	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.20	20	7	13	15.1	13.6	1.49	16.6	14.2	2.47
Horace Grant	61	62	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.09	8	19	-11	15.3	13.2	2.03	15.0	16.9	-1.89
Vernon Maxwell	40	39	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.24	15	12	3	13.5	15.2	-1.71	16.5	15.1	1.43
Brent Barry	58	57	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	26	-25	15.2	13.4	1.82	13.0	19.6	-6.52
Shammond Williams	48	47	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.06	6	21	-15	14.1	15.0	-0.87	15.4	15.9	-0.43
Jelani McCoy	37	34	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.31	14	13	1	13.2	15.3	-2.08	15.4	15.8	-0.31
Vin Baker	27	28	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	27	-27	14.7	14.4	0.25	15.1	15.9	-0.81
Ruben Patterson	7	8	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.06	5	22	-17	15.0	14.5	0.52	24.2	14.9	9.40
Greg Foster	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	22	-17	10.7	14.8	-4.11	11.3	16.0	-4.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 96, CLE 112	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
UTA 93, POR 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
NOH 82, IND 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%