NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	82		Excitement	2.6 [1248]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +11.1%
Indiana Pacers	100		Comeback	1.0 [1227]		LVP	J.R. Smith (NOH): -12.7%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lee Nailon	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	18	67%	0.08	2	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	2	83%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	45%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Matt Freije	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corsley Edwards	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	10	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Baron Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	-0.08	9	22%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Dan Dickau	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	12	47%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
J.R. Smith	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.00	-0.02	15	30%	-0.09	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.00	15	67%	0.13	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	75%	0.08	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	6	79%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	6	73%	0.02	1	-0.00	3	100%	-0.00
John Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	15	47%	0.03	4	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	30.5	15.8	23.3	1.7	27.2	124.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +38.5%

IND +9.4%

IND +8.7%

NOH -6.4%

NOH -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	IND	NBA	NOH	IND	NBA
this game	17.0	16.1	15.5	94.3	114.9	104.0
season	16.5	16.8		97.7	101.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		101.6	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.7	17.1	16.3	18.1	17.0
IND	15.3	16.4	16.5	16.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Andersen	16	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.26	5	-23	28	18.1	16.8	1.35	18.1	15.6	2.46
Matt Freije	42	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-16	14	18.3	15.9	2.40	16.0	16.2	-0.25
Baron Davis	42	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.19	-11	-7	-4	16.0	18.0	-2.02	16.5	15.7	0.82
Dan Dickau	62	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-11	4	17.2	16.6	0.65	16.4	15.2	1.17
Corsley Edwards	57	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.33	-24	6	-30	16.2	18.5	-2.31	15.7	16.8	-1.13
P.J. Brown	67	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.17	-20	2	-22	16.9	17.4	-0.55	15.9	16.5	-0.61
Lee Nailon	79	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	-5	-8	16.8	19.0	-2.18	16.3	14.2	2.07
J.R. Smith	70	71	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.01	-18	0	-18	17.5	15.1	2.37	15.4	19.2	-3.88

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	65	64	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.17	23	-5	28	16.2	15.6	0.66	17.0	17.1	-0.09
Reggie Miller	54	52	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.26	21	-3	24	15.1	17.6	-2.46	18.2	15.2	3.05
Jermaine O'Neal	55	55	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.04	13	5	8	16.4	15.5	0.87	17.4	16.4	0.98
Anthony Johnson	36	36	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	6	6	17.0	15.4	1.57	16.2	17.6	-1.46
Fred Jones	49	51	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.20	15	3	12	17.0	14.9	2.06	16.4	17.9	-1.48
Michael Curry	32	30	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	16	-14	15.0	16.7	-1.66	19.0	16.0	3.02
Jamaal Tinsley	41	41	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.24	15	3	12	15.0	17.1	-2.09	17.7	16.4	1.29
David Harrison	34	38	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.22	14	4	10	15.7	16.3	-0.61	15.5	18.2	-2.66
Austin Croshere	45	46	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	20	-22	17.0	15.1	1.81	15.2	19.1	-3.97
John Edwards	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	25	-32	17.3	15.9	1.38	17.7	16.9	0.72
James Jones	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	27	-36	17.3	15.9	1.38	17.3	17.0	0.31
Eddie Gill	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	27	-36	17.3	15.9	1.38	17.3	17.0	0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 87, DET 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
WAS 78, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
POR 90, PHX 119	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%