NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	87		Excitement	2.9 [1177]		MVP	Antonio McDyess (DET): +12.6%
Detroit Pistons	106		Comeback	1.0 [1240]		LVP	Nenad Krstic (NJN): -5.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stromile Swift	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	4	80%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Josh Boone	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	14	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	45%	0.03	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Maurice Ager	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.03
Marcus Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	10	40%	0.00	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	0.05	7	53%	-0.02	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	12	73%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	11	71%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	9	53%	0.05	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	4	70%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	5	40%	0.00	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	40%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	9	55%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	12	48%	0.00	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	32.2	15.6	27.2	2.0	28.0	130.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +30.4%

NJN -0.3%

DET +15.5%

DET +3.1%

DET +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DET	NBA	NJN	DET	NBA
this game	15.8	16.4	15.4	96.7	119.1	105.7
season	15.4	16.8		101.8	108.8
opponent	15.8	15.5		101.3	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.0	14.0	15.0	17.4	15.8
DET	18.1	16.0	15.6	16.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	14	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-24	29	16.1	15.7	0.42	16.2	16.4	-0.28
Sean Williams	34	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-17	15	16.4	15.4	0.95	16.0	16.6	-0.66
Marcus Williams	42	41	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-18	17	16.0	15.6	0.44	15.7	17.0	-1.36
Maurice Ager	33	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-14	9	15.5	15.9	-0.43	15.3	17.0	-1.64
Bostjan Nachbar	52	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-12	5	14.9	16.9	-2.01	16.0	17.0	-1.04
Stromile Swift	51	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-10	1	15.4	16.3	-0.92	16.0	16.9	-0.97
Darrell Armstrong	30	30	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	-13	7	16.9	15.2	1.62	17.0	16.1	0.97
Nenad Krstic	40	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-9	-1	16.1	15.5	0.65	17.1	15.8	1.37
Richard Jefferson	59	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	-5	-9	16.0	15.5	0.51	16.7	15.7	1.00
Devin Harris	51	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.16	-21	2	-23	15.7	15.9	-0.24	17.4	14.9	2.48
Josh Boone	44	44	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.26	-25	6	-31	15.5	16.1	-0.61	16.4	16.4	0.03

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	45	46	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.26	25	-6	31	16.4	16.4	0.01	15.5	16.1	-0.64
Tayshaun Prince	44	44	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.15	18	1	17	17.2	15.6	1.65	15.1	16.4	-1.28
Arron Afflalo	52	51	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.01	12	7	5	16.4	16.3	0.12	15.0	16.8	-1.82
Chauncey Billups	41	42	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.04	12	7	5	17.0	15.8	1.22	15.1	16.4	-1.21
Antonio McDyess	47	47	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.12	14	5	9	16.3	16.5	-0.20	15.6	16.0	-0.40
Amir Johnson	37	38	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	11	-3	16.3	16.4	-0.12	17.1	14.9	2.19
Rodney Stuckey	57	58	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.05	9	10	-1	15.6	17.7	-2.12	15.7	15.9	-0.13
Juan Dixon	33	34	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	17	-15	17.0	16.0	1.01	16.7	15.2	1.47
Jarvis Hayes	31	32	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	19	-19	16.5	16.4	0.09	15.7	15.9	-0.21
Jason Maxiell	31	30	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	20	-21	16.5	16.3	0.14	16.1	15.6	0.47
Walter Herrmann	27	28	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	23	-27	14.9	17.1	-2.21	17.1	15.2	1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 81, SEA 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
UTA 89, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
NOH 82, IND 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%