NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	93		Excitement	3.5 [1124]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +15.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	102		Comeback	1.2 [940]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): -13.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Jerebko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.01	0.03	8	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.02	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Raul Neto	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Dante Exum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.04	12	57%	-0.00	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.00	23	33%	-0.12	2	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.21	0.00	0.06	25	64%	0.16	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.00	-0.05	18	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wade Baldwin IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	71%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Swanigan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	16	35%	-0.03	3	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	3.3	29.2	14.6	26.3	3.5	28.6	131.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +40.3%

POR +0.8%

UTA -5.0%

POR +11.8%

POR +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	13.4	15.9	14.7	93.9	104.1	107.5
season	15.1	15.2		106.6	107.8
opponent	14.3	14.6		105.7	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.9	13.4	14.2	12.0	13.4
POR	15.4	14.4	15.2	18.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ekpe Udoh	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-13	17	7.0	13.8	-6.80	20.1	15.5	4.60
Raul Neto	21	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.25	8	-17	25	11.1	14.0	-2.84	18.9	15.1	3.81
Jonas Jerebko	19	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-9	9	15.5	12.9	2.59	15.9	15.8	0.09
Royce O'Neale	51	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-6	3	12.4	14.4	-1.96	17.2	14.5	2.68
Dante Exum	40	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	0	-9	12.8	13.8	-1.02	18.4	14.1	4.32
Jae Crowder	55	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-3	-3	12.1	15.0	-2.99	17.1	14.2	2.91
Ricky Rubio	51	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	1	-11	14.1	12.6	1.47	13.7	18.3	-4.59
Joe Ingles	60	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-5	1	13.8	12.7	1.06	14.9	17.3	-2.42
Derrick Favors	54	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.11	-15	6	-21	14.7	11.8	2.86	16.3	15.3	1.02
Donovan Mitchell	69	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-6	3	13.9	12.2	1.65	15.1	17.7	-2.59
Rudy Gobert	69	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-2	-5	13.8	12.5	1.22	13.9	20.4	-6.53

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	72	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	5	-1	15.0	18.4	-3.43	14.0	11.5	2.43
Damian Lillard	77	78	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.06	10	-1	11	15.5	17.2	-1.68	12.8	15.4	-2.53
Al-Farouq Aminu	66	64	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.25	3	6	-3	14.3	19.2	-4.88	12.8	14.5	-1.66
Jusuf Nurkic	66	64	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.25	3	6	-3	14.3	19.2	-4.88	12.8	14.5	-1.66
Evan Turner	60	61	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	6	-3	14.3	18.3	-4.00	13.3	13.5	-0.15
Shabazz Napier	26	27	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.09	3	6	-3	17.8	15.2	2.69	14.3	13.1	1.20
Zach Collins	32	35	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	3	3	19.2	14.3	4.88	14.5	12.8	1.66
Ed Davis	30	33	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	2	5	19.1	14.4	4.71	14.7	12.7	2.02
Wade Baldwin IV	27	26	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	4	1	16.2	15.7	0.49	12.7	13.6	-0.89
Pat Connaughton	30	28	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	6	-3	19.8	14.1	5.67	13.4	13.4	0.06
Jake Layman	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	10	-11	19.5	15.8	3.71	10.0	13.5	-3.45
Caleb Swanigan	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	10	-11	19.5	15.8	3.71	10.0	13.5	-3.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 89, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
ORL 108, CHA 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	97.1%
NJN 87, DET 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%