NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	108		Excitement	3.8 [1050]		MVP	Derek Anderson (CHA): +16.2%
Charlotte Bobcats	119		Comeback	1.1 [911]		LVP	Grant Hill (ORL): -5.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.00	15	62%	0.13	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Bo Outlaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.13	-0.01	0.12	11	63%	0.02	1	-0.01	19	53%	-0.07
Pat Garrity	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	57%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Travis Diener	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	1	150%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	7	75%	0.04	4	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Keith Bogans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	14	52%	0.00	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.02	-0.00	15	75%	0.18	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	8	78%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	13	61%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.01	0.05	11	75%	0.13	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.00	0.06	10	74%	0.09	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Jeff McInnis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	12	46%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.9	3.5	30.4	15.7	27.0	2.5	37.6	146.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +50.9%

CHA +1.1%

ORL -7.4%

CHA +6.1%

ORL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHA	NBA	ORL	CHA	NBA
this game	14.8	15.8	15.4	114.9	126.6	104.5
season	15.9	15.7		103.4	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.7		105.6	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	17.4	16.8	12.0	13.4	14.8
CHA	13.2	15.3	18.0	16.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Diener	12	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-10	9	13.7	15.0	-1.24	16.9	15.7	1.22
Pat Garrity	20	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.16	4	-15	19	14.7	14.9	-0.10	17.2	15.4	1.83
Carlos Arroyo	10	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-8	5	17.6	14.5	3.10	12.4	16.2	-3.81
Bo Outlaw	17	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	-9	7	17.2	14.3	2.94	14.3	16.1	-1.85
JJ Redick	25	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.17	2	-13	15	13.1	15.4	-2.33	15.7	15.8	-0.12
Keith Bogans	26	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-7	3	15.4	14.6	0.82	13.8	16.6	-2.79
Trevor Ariza	52	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-7	3	14.8	14.8	0.04	15.8	15.8	-0.06
Hedo Turkoglu	54	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-5	-1	13.8	16.2	-2.34	16.1	15.4	0.65
Grant Hill	40	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.08	-13	2	-15	15.9	14.0	1.86	16.5	15.3	1.20
Darko Milicic	51	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-1	-9	14.8	14.9	-0.10	16.0	15.5	0.50
Jameer Nelson	72	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-4	-3	14.6	15.5	-0.87	16.1	14.6	1.47
Dwight Howard	91	91	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	0	-11	14.8	14.7	0.17	15.8	16.7	-0.89

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	74	74	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.10	11	0	11	15.6	16.6	-1.01	14.6	15.5	-0.91
Gerald Wallace	82	81	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	6	-1	15.9	15.2	0.74	14.7	15.7	-1.00
Derek Anderson	69	67	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	1	9	15.8	15.9	-0.10	14.3	16.3	-2.01
Sean May	49	51	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	1	9	16.3	15.2	1.12	16.3	13.1	3.16
Matt Carroll	40	40	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	7	-3	16.0	15.6	0.38	13.0	16.2	-3.23
Jake Voskuhl	41	43	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	2	7	15.1	16.3	-1.17	15.3	14.5	0.83
Primoz Brezec	60	57	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.22	0	11	-11	15.9	15.6	0.35	14.7	15.0	-0.33
Adam Morrison	35	37	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	5	1	15.2	16.2	-0.97	15.9	14.2	1.71
Brevin Knight	8	8	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	9	-7	13.4	16.0	-2.66	17.7	14.6	3.19
Jeff McInnis	12	12	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.08	-2	13	-15	18.7	15.4	3.37	14.1	14.9	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 93, POR 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
LAC 88, PHX 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
MIN 72, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%