NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	100		Excitement	1.4 [877]		MVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): +32.6%
Dallas Mavericks	109		Comeback	3.1 [256]		LVP	DeShawn Stevenson (DAL): -9.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.05	-0.00	16	70%	0.21	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	87%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	0.00	0.09	14	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Caracter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Ebanks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.03	0.05	18	55%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00
Luke Walton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.18	0.10	-0.04	12	87%	0.33	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.02	0.00	15	73%	0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.06	0.05	13	73%	0.16	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.04	0.01	7	79%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	87%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	15	40%	-0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.5	25.5	19.5	26.4	3.4	29.2	130.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +35.0%

DAL +0.3%

DAL +0.6%

DAL +14.7%

LAL -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	17.1	16.6	15.5	117.6	126.7	105.7
season	15.9	15.7		108.8	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.8	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.6	17.7	18.3	16.0	17.1
DAL	16.1	15.9	16.0	18.3	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Caracter	0	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	0.0	17.1	-17.13	16.0	16.6	-0.56
Devin Ebanks	0	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	0.0	17.1	-17.13	16.0	16.6	-0.56
Andrew Bynum	53	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-9	9	17.6	16.4	1.21	16.4	16.9	-0.52
Metta World Peace	53	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-7	5	17.1	17.2	-0.09	17.0	15.9	1.09
Derek Fisher	45	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-4	-1	17.8	16.3	1.47	16.4	16.7	-0.33
Kobe Bryant	63	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-6	3	17.1	17.3	-0.19	16.7	16.0	0.70
Shannon Brown	30	31	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-4	-1	17.4	17.0	0.37	15.8	17.0	-1.23
Luke Walton	24	24	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-1	-7	17.0	17.2	-0.12	16.2	16.7	-0.54
Steve Blake	40	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-5	1	16.3	17.8	-1.47	16.7	16.4	0.33
Lamar Odom	52	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.13	-9	0	-9	16.4	18.2	-1.82	16.5	16.6	-0.02
Pau Gasol	65	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.09	-13	4	-17	17.3	16.5	0.82	16.7	15.9	0.79

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	64	65	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.17	17	-8	25	16.2	17.6	-1.39	16.5	19.3	-2.84
Shawn Marion	55	56	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.18	11	-2	13	16.3	17.0	-0.74	16.7	18.0	-1.27
Jason Kidd	63	62	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	-1	11	16.4	16.9	-0.43	16.9	17.7	-0.84
Sasha Pavlovic	44	43	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	2	5	15.8	17.4	-1.61	17.7	16.5	1.24
Brendan Haywood	31	30	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	4	1	14.5	17.7	-3.19	15.9	17.8	-1.95
Tyson Chandler	49	49	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	3	3	17.5	15.3	2.17	17.7	16.4	1.28
Dirk Nowitzki	64	64	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	5	-1	17.5	13.9	3.62	17.3	16.6	0.68
Jose Juan Barea	23	23	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	10	-11	16.9	16.4	0.43	17.7	16.9	0.84
Brian Cardinal	15	13	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	15	-21	17.1	16.5	0.62	17.0	17.2	-0.15
DeShawn Stevenson	22	20	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.07	-8	17	-25	17.6	16.2	1.39	19.3	16.5	2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.41,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.33,0.34,0.41,0.45,0.56,0.6,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.95,0.93,0.96,1,0.98,0.95,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 85, LAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.63,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
DET 81, POR 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.95,1	93.3%
CHI 88, ORL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.63,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.81,0.86,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1	93.0%