NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Excitement	5.1 [813]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +19.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	113		Comeback	1.7 [995]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (MIN): -11.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Beasley	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Pekovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Darko Milicic	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	16	65%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	43%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.02	6	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Jonny Flynn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	20	47%	-0.00	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	37%	-0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	0.04	7	48%	-0.04	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.05
Luke Ridnour	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	11	32%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.19	0.02	0.02	24	65%	0.23	2	-0.04	9	78%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.02	0.04	11	74%	0.17	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.00	6	60%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	12	52%	0.02	4	-0.05	5	100%	0.01
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	46%	0.00	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	11	19%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	1.8	28.2	15.4	32.4	2.7	39.0	147.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +16.3%

POR +18.2%

MIN -3.1%

POR +16.6%

POR +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	14.8	15.9	15.5	109.7	118.9	105.7
season	14.3	16.5		102.7	106.7
opponent	15.7	15.1		105.6	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.6	16.0	15.8	13.9	14.8
POR	14.6	18.3	14.2	16.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Pekovic	20	21	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-15	19	14.0	15.0	-0.92	15.8	15.9	-0.06
Jonny Flynn	29	29	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-12	13	15.2	14.6	0.68	16.8	15.4	1.40
Anthony Tolliver	22	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-10	9	15.8	14.5	1.37	18.2	15.2	3.03
Michael Beasley	49	50	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-7	3	14.7	14.9	-0.21	16.2	15.5	0.73
Wayne Ellington	44	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.04	-9	-2	-7	15.8	13.8	1.98	15.7	16.0	-0.23
Corey Brewer	48	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.20	-3	-8	5	13.7	15.9	-2.25	16.2	15.5	0.76
Martell Webster	45	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-5	-1	15.0	14.5	0.48	15.2	16.5	-1.27
Luke Ridnour	64	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-12	1	-13	14.6	15.2	-0.68	15.4	16.8	-1.40
Darko Milicic	68	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.07	-12	1	-13	14.6	15.2	-0.53	15.2	17.5	-2.32
Kevin Love	76	78	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.12	-13	2	-15	14.8	14.7	0.08	15.8	16.2	-0.47

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	82	81	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.11	17	-6	23	15.7	16.6	-0.88	14.6	15.8	-1.22
Andre Miller	71	70	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.09	16	-5	21	15.6	16.5	-0.87	14.9	14.5	0.39
Nicolas Batum	71	68	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	-3	17	15.6	16.5	-0.92	13.9	17.2	-3.37
Rudy Fernandez	56	54	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	-1	13	15.9	15.8	0.14	16.0	13.0	3.01
Wesley Matthews	66	67	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.18	1	10	-9	16.5	14.3	2.27	14.8	14.8	0.01
Dante Cunningham	54	52	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.01	6	5	1	14.4	17.8	-3.39	16.0	13.2	2.78
Joel Przybilla	34	33	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.26	-4	15	-19	17.9	14.7	3.21	14.3	15.0	-0.78
Marcus Camby	17	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.01	-2	13	-15	15.1	16.0	-0.97	12.4	15.3	-2.96
Patty Mills	24	23	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	16	-21	16.5	15.6	0.87	14.5	14.9	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.96,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 82, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
PHI 97, BKN 122	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
MIN 103, HOU 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%