inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 82 Excitement4.7 [885] MVPJake Tsakalidis (MEM): +8.7%
Miami Heat 94 Comeback1.7 [940] LVPPau Gasol (MEM): -17.3%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jake Tsakalidis0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.02-0.01659%0.0900.00580%0.00
Shane Battier0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.010.02767%0.041-0.02450%-0.04
Chucky Atkins0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.02-0.02658%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Brian Cardinal0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Antonio Burks0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lorenzen Wright-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Bobby Jackson-0.020,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.08-0.030.071763%0.023-0.041100%0.00
Dahntay Jones-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.000.02250%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Hakim Warrick-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0220%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Mike Miller-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.04-0.011055%0.053-0.102100%0.01
Eddie Jones-0.170,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.16-0.03-0.03710%-0.151-0.02729%-0.08
Pau Gasol-0.170,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.13-0.06-0.01846%-0.016-0.16862%-0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.01-0.031257%0.113-0.052065%-0.01
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.010.01190%0.081-0.02887%0.03
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.020.001359%0.083-0.06850%-0.04
Jason Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.031256%0.073-0.051100%0.01
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.010.02747%0.0100.00367%-0.01
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Gary Payton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.03-0.01-0.03442%0.031-0.03450%-0.02
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.01657%0.032-0.05250%-0.01
James Posey0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.10-0.04-0.01831%-0.043-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.52.632.816.834.62.729.5145.5
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +17.5%
MIA +15.9%
MIA +8.9%
MIA +4.1%
MIA +3.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMMIANBAMEMMIANBA
this game16.914.815.691.1102.2104.4
season17.115.5103.5106.1
opponent15.515.7102.3100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM16.616.717.117.316.9
MIA12.914.612.919.614.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio Burks330.00-0.500.50-0.124-162013.317.0-3.6920.714.66.09
Brian Cardinal78-0.00-0.500.49-0.062-141615.417.0-1.6014.914.80.11
Dahntay Jones1414-0.04-0.460.41-0.133-151813.917.4-3.5215.414.70.77
Jake Tsakalidis2930-0.06-0.440.38-0.267-192616.317.2-0.9216.513.92.61
Hakim Warrick57-0.07-0.430.37-0.01-2-10820.616.73.9211.715.0-3.31
Mike Miller5860-0.16-0.340.18-0.160-121216.817.1-0.3515.912.63.29
Chucky Atkins3840-0.21-0.290.070.08-10-2-816.517.2-0.7414.714.8-0.17
Eddie Jones4951-0.23-0.270.04-0.05-6-6017.216.60.6214.914.60.38
Lorenzen Wright3434-0.25-0.25-0.010.01-9-3-618.815.73.0913.115.8-2.67
Bobby Jackson6464-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.05-120-1217.116.50.5614.315.7-1.41
Pau Gasol7373-0.50-0.00-0.490.09-208-2816.817.3-0.4914.316.6-2.34
Shane Battier7676-0.580.08-0.66-0.08-175-2216.916.70.2214.615.6-0.96

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade78790.52-0.020.55-0.0620-82814.118.4-4.2317.314.03.30
Jason Williams74710.480.020.460.161111014.316.6-2.2916.618.1-1.53
Udonis Haslem68660.480.020.460.0415-31813.518.2-4.7117.415.61.80
James Posey55550.350.150.200.1575214.714.8-0.1117.316.30.91
Alonzo Mourning31300.320.180.14-0.0613-11413.115.6-2.5717.016.90.10
Shaquille O'Neal58570.180.32-0.140.0939-615.413.71.6417.116.60.42
Antoine Walker46440.090.41-0.320.24-517-2216.712.93.7615.318.4-3.05
Gary Payton47460.070.43-0.350.07012-1216.512.93.6017.016.80.25
Dorell Wright320.000.50-0.500.12-416-2020.714.66.0913.017.0-3.99


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 102, POR 1130.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.96,1,1,1,195.3%
DET 94, PHI 1000.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,195.2%
CLE 93, DAL 1140.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%