NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Excitement	4.2 [1020]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +20.1%
Utah Jazz	121		Comeback	1.1 [1300]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): -7.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.03	0.06	19	63%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Samardo Samuels	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	57%	0.02	1	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Jamario Moon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	12	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Manny Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	9	44%	0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	16	41%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	13	60%	0.02	9	-0.08	9	56%	-0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.18	0.04	0.02	16	76%	0.22	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.01	13	67%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Raja Bell	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	7	83%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	3	83%	0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.02	14	52%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.06	8	68%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	36%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	11	48%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	19%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.6	24.8	15.8	26.3	1.6	28.6	121.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +32.6%

UTA +2.8%

CLE -6.1%

UTA +20.5%

UTA +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	UTA	NBA	CLE	UTA	NBA
this game	15.3	15.4	15.5	105.3	128.7	105.7
season	15.1	15.9		100.8	106.4
opponent	15.3	15.4		108.2	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.5	15.8	16.7	14.3	15.3
UTA	13.7	15.5	16.8	15.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alonzo Gee	56	56	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-16	10	15.9	14.3	1.53	16.8	13.3	3.43
Antawn Jamison	74	73	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-16	10	16.0	12.4	3.63	15.9	13.7	2.21
Manny Harris	60	61	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-17	12	15.4	15.0	0.45	15.3	15.6	-0.34
Mo Williams	66	66	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.13	-13	-9	-4	15.2	15.4	-0.25	16.0	14.0	1.97
JJ Hickson	71	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.13	-15	-7	-8	14.6	17.3	-2.77	15.6	14.7	0.86
Jamario Moon	38	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	-6	-10	14.3	15.9	-1.53	13.3	16.8	-3.43
Samardo Samuels	43	42	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.20	-23	1	-24	15.0	15.4	-0.38	14.2	16.3	-2.16
Ramon Sessions	62	61	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.26	-26	4	-30	15.2	15.4	-0.23	14.9	16.3	-1.46

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	53	53	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.32	30	-8	38	14.9	16.0	-1.05	15.1	15.4	-0.33
Earl Watson	35	37	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.22	21	1	20	15.0	15.6	-0.56	14.4	15.8	-1.36
Andrei Kirilenko	71	71	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.07	15	7	8	15.2	16.0	-0.82	14.7	16.8	-2.08
Ronnie Price	32	33	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.15	16	6	10	14.7	15.7	-1.01	13.8	16.0	-2.17
Mehmet Okur	32	31	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	15	-8	14.1	16.1	-2.00	14.6	15.6	-0.91
Al Jefferson	54	56	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.26	17	5	12	16.2	14.2	2.02	16.1	13.9	2.20
Deron Williams	62	61	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	16	-10	15.7	14.7	1.01	16.0	13.8	2.17
Raja Bell	59	57	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	21	-20	15.6	15.0	0.56	15.8	14.4	1.36
Paul Millsap	48	50	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	23	-24	15.9	14.8	1.13	16.3	14.0	2.32
Gordon Hayward	11	10	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	22	-22	16.4	15.3	1.11	16.0	15.2	0.83
Kyrylo Fesenko	8	6	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	24	-26	14.9	15.4	-0.56	9.2	15.7	-6.50
Francisco Elson	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	15.6	15.4	0.23	12.8	15.4	-2.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.85,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
CHA 87, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	95.0%
PHI 83, MIA 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%