NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	87		Excitement	4.0 [1031]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (IND): +12.1%
Indiana Pacers	94		Comeback	1.0 [1301]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): -10.9%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Hart	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.01	7	71%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	12	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	13	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Kapono	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	56%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theron Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	19	45%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Keith Bogans	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.03	0.03	10	58%	-0.02	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.02	-0.02	14	65%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.01	5	82%	0.09	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	22	58%	0.09	5	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	57%	0.06	4	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.7	28.2	15.7	27.6	1.8	62.3	164.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +40.0%

IND +9.9%

CHA -2.2%

IND +2.0%

IND +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	IND	NBA	CHA	IND	NBA
this game	16.1	16.6	15.5	100.0	105.6	104.0
season	15.5	16.8		99.0	101.9
opponent	15.5	15.1		101.6	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.6	16.0	16.9	16.0	16.1
IND	17.1	15.3	16.6	17.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	56	59	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.39	9	-16	25	15.3	17.6	-2.28	17.4	15.1	2.27
Keith Bogans	44	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.16	1	-8	9	16.5	15.7	0.83	17.3	15.9	1.42
Gerald Wallace	49	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.32	6	-13	19	15.6	16.8	-1.15	16.4	16.9	-0.49
Steven Smith	36	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	0	-7	16.2	16.1	0.14	15.9	17.1	-1.14
Jason Hart	37	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	5	-17	16.8	15.6	1.21	14.9	17.7	-2.79
Melvin Ely	76	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.35	0	-7	7	15.8	18.0	-2.16	17.2	13.0	4.17
Jason Kapono	37	37	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	4	-15	16.4	15.9	0.46	15.6	17.3	-1.64
Primoz Brezec	70	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-3	-1	16.2	15.9	0.22	16.6	16.4	0.21
Theron Smith	30	30	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	10	-27	17.2	15.6	1.61	16.8	16.5	0.34

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	67	63	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.14	9	-2	11	15.9	18.7	-2.82	15.6	17.4	-1.74
Fred Jones	56	55	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.31	2	5	-3	15.7	18.2	-2.50	15.8	16.7	-0.96
Eddie Gill	27	27	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.01	12	-5	17	15.9	16.9	-1.03	17.6	15.5	2.09
Austin Croshere	41	40	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.07	8	-1	9	15.7	17.4	-1.67	17.6	14.9	2.70
David Harrison	25	25	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	1	5	16.2	16.7	-0.51	15.9	16.2	-0.33
Jeff Foster	44	43	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	2	3	17.0	16.2	0.73	15.3	16.9	-1.56
Jermaine O'Neal	68	66	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.33	-5	12	-17	17.0	15.2	1.85	15.8	17.0	-1.17
Reggie Miller	37	36	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	1	5	17.8	15.7	2.11	16.5	15.9	0.61
Anthony Johnson	62	60	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.30	-5	12	-17	16.9	15.9	1.03	15.5	17.6	-2.09
James Jones	18	20	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	10	-13	19.6	15.9	3.70	17.9	15.6	2.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 99, UTA 121	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.85,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
LAC 94, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
DEN 76, POR 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.72,0.79,0.7,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%