inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 76 Excitement3.6 [1081] MVPRudy Fernandez (POR): +15.9%
Portland Trail Blazers 104 Comeback1.0 [1158] LVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): -17.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenyon Martin0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.02671%0.072-0.032100%0.01
Chauncey Billups0.040,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.07-0.020.011057%0.0400.003100%0.02
Jason Hart0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Johan Petro0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05217%0.0010.00250%0.00
Renaldo Balkman0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
J.R. Smith-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.01-0.03736%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Nene-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.02956%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Linas Kleiza-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.000.041048%-0.0200.001100%0.00
Dahntay Jones-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.08-0.00-0.06825%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Anthony Carter-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.12-0.01-0.05625%-0.024-0.0600%0.00
Chris Andersen-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.020.01350%-0.003-0.082100%-0.00
Carmelo Anthony-0.180,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.16-0.02-0.001829%-0.142-0.046100%0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rudy Fernandez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.170.030.059100%0.1610.0000%0.00
Travis Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.130.020.05987%0.173-0.07667%-0.00
Joel Przybilla0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.01475%0.0300.0000%0.00
Channing Frye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.09-0.000.06775%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Nicolas Batum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02437%0.0100.0000%0.00
Greg Oden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.010.02656%0.031-0.02667%-0.01
Michael Ruffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jerryd Bayless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steve Blake0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01756%0.023-0.042100%0.01
Sergio Rodriguez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.03658%-0.004-0.0200%0.00
Brandon Roy0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01737%-0.021-0.012100%0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.080.00-0.041040%0.013-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.73.630.219.727.13.429.6141.4
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +53.9%
DEN -2.5%
DEN -5.2%
POR +3.1%
POR +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENPORNBADENPORNBA
this game15.815.615.583.5113.0106.4
season14.416.7109.5111.0
opponent16.015.7105.8105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.014.516.316.815.8
POR15.313.718.016.015.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Hart9100.00-0.500.50-0.031-293012.216.2-4.0218.715.33.44
Johan Petro11110.00-0.500.50-0.031-293012.416.3-3.9617.315.41.87
Renaldo Balkman1415-0.00-0.500.500.15-5-231813.216.3-3.1116.415.50.92
Kenyon Martin5151-0.07-0.430.36-0.132-303216.714.71.9615.615.6-0.01
Dahntay Jones3738-0.11-0.390.280.13-8-201215.016.4-1.4316.914.72.20
Nene5655-0.13-0.370.240.11-8-201216.514.71.7915.915.30.56
J.R. Smith3938-0.21-0.290.090.18-13-15216.215.60.6315.315.8-0.49
Chauncey Billups6161-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.07-7-211416.913.63.3016.114.71.34
Carmelo Anthony5556-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.06-9-191016.414.91.4915.415.9-0.47
Chris Andersen3840-0.37-0.13-0.240.36-25-3-2215.316.3-1.0014.916.2-1.29
Anthony Carter3737-0.45-0.05-0.400.55-346-4016.115.70.4413.317.2-3.90
Linas Kleiza4748-0.570.07-0.650.45-357-4214.916.8-1.9315.415.9-0.53

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rudy Fernandez52510.430.070.37-0.272442015.415.9-0.5715.216.6-1.39
Greg Oden40390.330.170.17-0.372442015.415.8-0.4115.616.0-0.36
Sergio Rodriguez37360.320.180.15-0.472712615.016.1-1.0515.216.3-1.08
Travis Outlaw48480.320.180.15-0.412532214.317.1-2.8017.214.32.97
LaMarcus Aldridge58590.300.200.11-0.021117-616.114.81.3315.915.80.10
Channing Frye34320.200.30-0.11-0.301711614.816.1-1.3315.815.9-0.10
Steve Blake55550.180.32-0.150.15127-2616.115.01.0516.315.21.08
Joel Przybilla41420.170.33-0.170.02523-1815.415.8-0.3916.915.01.92
Brandon Roy43440.130.37-0.240.04325-2215.415.8-0.4016.415.31.05
Nicolas Batum29280.110.39-0.27-0.06622-1617.814.63.1615.116.2-1.12
Michael Ruffin11100.000.50-0.500.03-129-3017.315.41.8712.316.3-3.98
Jerryd Bayless12110.000.50-0.500.06-230-3217.615.32.2512.416.3-3.96


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.72,0.79,0.7,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 89, DAL 1020.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,194.5%
CHA 87, IND 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.99,194.5%
CLE 99, UTA 1210.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.85,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.4%