NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	83		Excitement	3.3 [1131]		MVP	Yakhouba Diawara (MIA): +6.9%
Miami Heat	106		Comeback	1.0 [585]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -11.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	13	53%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	14	63%	0.08	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	60%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	3	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.01	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	-0.02	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.16	-0.01	-0.05	7	14%	-0.06	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	8	65%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	5	69%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.01	0.05	15	67%	0.13	4	-0.09	13	85%	0.01
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Anthony	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	14	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.01	-0.06	17	45%	0.02	4	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	31.9	16.0	27.3	1.0	32.3	136.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +31.0%

MIA +0.3%

PHI -1.8%

MIA +22.1%

PHI -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIA	NBA	PHI	MIA	NBA
this game	14.2	14.8	15.5	84.7	105.0	106.4
season	15.5	16.0		105.3	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.9		105.7	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.3	15.3	10.7	15.2	14.2
MIA	14.7	12.0	17.8	14.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kareem Rush	26	27	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.18	7	-30	37	13.0	14.6	-1.57	15.0	14.7	0.25
Samuel Dalembert	50	51	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-20	17	14.2	14.1	0.18	16.4	13.1	3.25
Royal Ivey	24	24	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-17	11	14.4	14.1	0.29	12.7	15.4	-2.72
Andre Iguodala	46	48	-0.14	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-20	17	13.0	15.2	-2.13	16.4	13.3	3.11
Andre Miller	55	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.18	-13	-10	-3	14.9	13.3	1.60	15.6	13.8	1.73
Marreese Speights	37	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.06	-10	-13	3	13.5	14.5	-0.98	12.9	16.0	-3.07
Reggie Evans	36	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	-9	-5	14.2	14.1	0.15	13.8	15.4	-1.58
Lou Williams	38	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.13	-15	-8	-7	13.7	14.4	-0.77	14.3	15.1	-0.74
Elton Brand	69	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	-10	-3	14.6	13.2	1.39	15.0	14.2	0.85
Willie Green	32	33	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.29	-22	-1	-21	14.7	13.9	0.79	13.2	15.5	-2.29
Thaddeus Young	77	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.20	-23	0	-23	14.5	13.0	1.53	14.8	14.7	0.13

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yakhouba Diawara	57	53	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.34	26	-3	29	14.2	15.6	-1.39	14.0	14.4	-0.37
Michael Beasley	76	76	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.16	18	5	13	14.9	14.5	0.40	15.0	11.1	3.95
Mark Blount	39	36	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.20	19	4	15	13.5	15.6	-2.15	14.5	14.0	0.55
Dwyane Wade	71	70	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.22	19	4	15	14.9	14.4	0.50	14.4	13.6	0.81
Chris Quinn	39	36	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	18	-13	15.1	14.6	0.56	12.9	14.9	-2.00
Mario Chalmers	62	62	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.29	18	5	13	14.6	15.1	-0.56	14.9	12.9	2.00
Udonis Haslem	65	64	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	15	-7	15.4	13.6	1.82	13.7	14.9	-1.16
Shawn Marion	57	57	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	20	-17	15.1	14.3	0.78	13.9	14.5	-0.53
Daequan Cook	34	32	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.07	2	21	-19	14.7	14.8	-0.16	13.2	14.6	-1.39
Joel Anthony	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	26	-29	16.8	14.7	2.12	9.5	14.4	-4.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 99, SEA 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.5%
TOR 87, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
WAS 81, MIL 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%